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PSG vs Paris Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for PSG vs Paris

Here you will find the best prediction for PSG vs Paris in Ligue 1, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between PSG and Paris.

PSG logo
PSG

  • January 4, 2026 – 19::45
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 17
Paris logo
Paris


Betting tip and prediction for this match between PSG vs Paris

The best prediction for PSG vs Paris in the Ligue 1 is over 3.0 Asian goals. Despite the home team being favored, both PSG and Paris FC are known for engaging in open matches filled with opportunities and excitement until the final whistle. Considering the offensive nature of both teams and their tendency for high-scoring games, betting on the “Over 3 Goals” market in this clash is a solid option.

Best prediction for PSG vs Paris

Over 3.0 Asian goals

Match prediction for PSG vs Paris

The teams PSG and Paris are set to face off at the Parc des Princes in a clash for Round 17 of Ligue 1. There is only one recent head-to-head match recorded between these two teams, on December 16, 2022, which ended with a victory for Paris Saint Germain (2-1). In this match, the home advantage may play a decisive role, as Paris has shown differences in performance when playing at home and away.

PSG Analysis

After 11 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, the home team is in 2nd place, having amassed 36 points. In their last match, they won against Metz away (2-3), after winning at home against Rennes (5-0) in the previous game. This team is not significantly affected by home ground advantage, as they have shown similar results at home and away, recording 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 away games, scoring 33 goals and conceding 17, compared to 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss at home, with 40 goals scored and 11 conceded. They arrive at this encounter after a victory away against Fontenay Vendée Foot (0-4). In the league, PSG has earned 19 points out of 21 possible, with 6 wins and 1 draw in their last 7 matches at their stadium.

They have not lost at home in their last 7 matches in this competition. Of the matches played at home in the league, the most frequent score at half-time was 1-0, which occurred in 3 of their 7 games. Their attack has been consistent, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. This team often scores first: they opened the scoring in 14 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches, achieving a half-time lead in 8 of those 14 and maintaining that lead until the end in 11. In their last 20 home matches across all competitions, there is one notable trend: they conceded 5 of their 13 goals between the minutes (31’-45′).

PSG arrives at this match with a recent victory, 0-4, in their trip to Fontenay’s stadium, a match valid for the Coupe de France. In their latest match in Ligue 1, the hosts won against Metz (2-3). The home team typically operates in a tactical system of 4-3-3, favoring quick transitions, particularly through the flanks. In this setup, the three players responsible for creating chaos in the opponent’s defense are Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé, and Bradley Barcola. The left wing is usually the main stage for local attacks, with Nuno Mendes acting as a true offensive engine. Out of this match are Kang-in Lee and Matvey Safonov, both injured.

Paris Analysis

After 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 14th place, having secured 16 points. In their last match, they lost at home to Toulouse (0-3), after drawing away against Le Havre (0-0) in the previous game. This team is affected by home ground advantage, appearing stronger when playing with the support of their fans. In the last 30 matches, they recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, with a total of 19 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home, they have achieved 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 28 goals scored and 20 conceded. In their latest match, for the Coupe de France, they won against Raon l’Etape away (0-3). In their last 8 away matches in the league, Paris has registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, earning 8 points from 24 available. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 16 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and only managed 1 comeback.

Paris FC enters this match following a victory, 0-3, in their visit to U.S Raon-l’Étape’s stadium, a match valid for the Coupe de France. In their last match in Ligue 1, the visitors lost to Toulouse (0-3). This visiting team usually operates in a tactical system of 4-3-3, favoring a slower style of play, attacking through the center. In this formation, the three players tasked with offensive responsibilities are Mathieu Cafaro, Willem Geubbels, and Jonathan Ikoné. Out of this match are Pierre-Yves Hamel and Pierre Lees-Melou, both injured.

Best prediction for PSG vs Paris

Over 3.0 Asian goals

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