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PSG vs Paris Prediction – French Cup

Check the best predictions for PSG vs Paris

Here you will find the best prediction for PSG vs Paris in the French Cup, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between PSG vs Paris.

PSG logo
PSG

  • January 12, 2026 – 20::10
  • French Cup

  • 2025/2026
  • Round of 16
Paris logo
Paris


Betting tip and prediction for this match between PSG vs Paris

The best prediction for PSG vs Paris in the French Cup is that PSG will be winning at halftime. In addition to playing at home with the support of their supporters, they possess a squad with superior quality, both individually and collectively. It’s important to note that Paris FC is facing some issues in the defensive sector. Therefore, it’s expected that the home team will demonstrate its favoritism right from the start and will be ahead by the halftime break.

Best prediction for PSG vs Paris

PSG to win at halftime

Match prediction for PSG vs Paris

The teams PSG and Paris face off at Parc des Princes, in a match for the French Cup (Round of 16). These teams have met only twice recently: on January 4, 2026, with Paris Saint Germain winning 2-1, and on December 16, 2022, where Paris Saint Germain again came out on top 2-1. In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as Paris shows significant differences in results achieved at home and away.

Analysis of PSG

The home team arrives at this stage of the French Cup (Round of 16) after a victory away by 4-0 against Fontenay Vendée Foot. This is a team that is less affected by home factor, as they display similar results both at home and away, with their last 30 matches showing 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, scoring 33 goals and conceding 17, compared to 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss at home, scoring 38 goals and conceding 14. In the last match they played, for the Super Cup, they won against Olympique Marseille at home by 4-1, in a penalty shootout. In their last 10 home games, PSG has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their attack has been scoring consistently, netting goals in 8 of their last 10 matches. In their home games, there is a trend for scoring, as 29 of their last 34 matches ended with over 1.5 goals and 24 out of 34 ended with over 2.5 goals.

Paris Saint-Germain enters this clash coming off a victory in penalties against Marseille, thus securing the Trophée des Champions. It is worth noting that they reach this stage of the French Cup after eliminating Fontenay in the previous match. The home club typically plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system, emphasizing a slower, more progressive style of play. In this formation, the three forwards will be Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Désiré Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé. When going on the attack, the team tends to explore the left flank using the runs of full-back Nuno Mendes. Injured players Kang-in Lee and Matvey Safonov, as well as Ibrahim Mbaye and Achraf Hakimi who are at the AFCON, will miss this game.

Analysis of Paris

The visiting team arrives at this stage of the French Cup (Round of 16) after eliminating Raon l’Etape with a 3-0 away victory in the previous round. This team is stronger when playing at home, as in their last 30 matches they have 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors; compared to 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses at home. In the last 10 away games, Paris has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 5. The team has allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating a need for improvement in their defense, while their attack has been scoring regularly, converting in 7 out of the last 10 games. In 15 matches, they have never managed to turn around a match after conceding the first goal in the 8 instances this occurred.

Paris FC enters this clash off a loss, 2-1, in their trip to PSG’s stadium in a match valid for Ligue 1: their only goal was scored by Willem Geubbels. It is worth noting that the visitors reach this stage of the French Cup after eliminating U.S Raon-l’Étape in the previous match. Under the management of Stephane Gilli, the visiting team favors a more organized and slower style of play, utilizing a 4-3-3 tactical system, with well-executed transitions through the central corridor. Alimami Gory, Willem Geubbels, and Jonathan Ikoné are the most advanced names on the field, bringing speed, creativity, and unpredictability to the attacking sector. When going on the attack, the team tends to focus on the left flank, using the overlaps of full-back Thibault De Smet. Missing this match are Moses Simon and Jean-Philippe Krasso, both participating in AFCON.

Best prediction for PSG vs Paris

PSG to win at halftime

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