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PSG vs Newcastle Prediction – Champions League

Check out the best predictions for PSG vs Newcastle

Here you will find the best prediction for PSG vs Newcastle in the Champions League, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between PSG and Newcastle.

PSG logo
PSG

  • January 28, 2026 – 20::00
  • UEFA Champions League

  • 2025/2026
  • League Stage – Round 8
Newcastle logo
Newcastle


Betting tip and prediction for this match between PSG vs Newcastle

The best prediction for PSG vs Newcastle in the Champions League is a PSG win. Playing at home in front of their supporters and still aiming to rise in the standings, the home team should take control of the match. On the other hand, Newcastle has shown defensive weaknesses, particularly away from home. Therefore, a dominant PSG is expected, with greater initiative and capability to secure the three points.

Best prediction for PSG vs Newcastle

PSG to win

Match prediction for PSG vs Newcastle

The teams PSG and Newcastle face off at Parc des Princes, in a match for the UEFA Champions League (League Stage). These teams have met just twice recently: on November 28, 2023, ending in a 1-1 draw, and on October 4, 2023, when Newcastle United won 4-1. In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as Newcastle shows significant differences in results when playing at home versus away.

PSG Analysis

The home team is currently in 6th place, with 13 points acquired through 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. In their second-to-last match, they drew away against Athletic Bilbao (0-0). In the last match, they lost away to Sporting CP (2-1). This team is minimally affected by the home factor, presenting similar results at home and away. In their last 30 matches, they recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, scoring 33 goals and conceding 16, compared to 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home, scoring 35 goals and conceding 13. The team comes into this match following an away win against Auxerre (1-0). PSG has won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, conceding goals in 5 of their last 7 matches, but their attack has been consistently scoring, with goals in 6 of their last 7 games in this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 24 out of 34 have finished with over 2.5 goals. In 15 matches, they have only managed 1 comeback in the 4 games where they conceded first.

PSG enters this match after a victory, 1-0, on their trip to Auxerre for a Ligue 1 match. In their last Champions League match, the Parisians lost to Sporting 2-1. Playing at home, the team led by Luis Enrique is expected to maintain their usual 4-3-3 formation, with Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola, and Ousmane Dembélé as the main attacking threats. Offensively, the home team tends to primarily exploit the left flank, where the incursions from full-back Nuno Mendes provide depth and unpredictability to the team’s play. Matvey Safonov, Kang-in Lee, João Neves, and Quentin Ndjantou are unavailable for this match due to physical issues.

Newcastle Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 7th place, also with 13 points, after 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. In their second-to-last match, they drew away against Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2-2). In the last match, they won at home against PSV (3-0). This team is affected by the home factor, proving stronger when supported by their fans, as in their last 30 matches, they recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 18 goals and conceding 17. At home, they secured 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 30 goals and conceding 17. The team comes into this match after a home defeat against Aston Villa (0-2). In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, Newcastle has won 2, drawn 2, and lost 6. Their attack has been scoring regularly, getting at least one goal in the last 7 matches in this competition. In 15 matches, they conceded first 6 times and have only managed to stage 1 comeback.

Newcastle enters this clash after a defeat, 0-2, at home against Aston Villa, in a match valid for the Premier League. In their last Champions League match, the visitors won against PSV 3-0. The visiting team generally adopts a 4-3-3 tactical system, relying on Harvey Barnes, Antony Gordon, and Yoane Wissa as the main attacking references. In the midfield, Sandro Tonali stands out as the team’s brain, responsible for dictating the tempo and orchestrating offensive actions. Fabian Schär, Emil Krafth, Jacob Murphy, and Tino Livramento are out for this match due to physical issues.

Best prediction for PSG vs Newcastle

PSG to win

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