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PSG vs Lille Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for PSG x Lille

Here you will find the best prediction for PSG x Lille in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head results and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this matchup between PSG x Lille.

PSG logo
PSG

  • January 16, 2026 – 20::00
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Lille logo
Lille


Betting tip and prediction for this match between PSG x Lille

The best prediction for PSG x Lille in the Ligue 1 is over 2.5 goals. The supremacy of PSG is evident, but Lille’s bold approach in recent matches adds excitement to the contest. With both teams prioritizing an offensive style over excessive tactical caution, all the elements are present for a thrilling game filled with clear scoring opportunities.

Best prediction for PSG x Lille

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for PSG x Lille

The teams PSG and Lille will face each other at Parc des Princes in a match of the 18th round of Ligue 1. In their last encounter in this competition on October 5, 2025, the final result was a draw (1-1). The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 5 and lost 1 out of their last 6 matches. Indeed, in the last match at this stadium, on March 1, 2025, Paris Saint-Germain triumphed (4-1). The goals were scored by Marquinhos (22′), Désiré Doué (37′), Bradley Barcola (6′), and Ousmane Dembélé (28′) for PSG, and Jonathan David (80′) for Lille.

PSG Analysis

After 12 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, the home team occupies 2nd place with 39 points. In their last match, they won against Paris FC at home (2-1), following a previous away victory against Metz (2-3). Their last game in the Coupe de France ended in a home defeat against Paris FC (0-1). In their last 8 home games in the league, PSG has recorded 7 wins and 1 draw, earning 22 points out of a possible 24.

In this competition, they have won their last 4 home matches and remain unbeaten in their last 8 games at home. In league matches played in their stadium, the most frequent halftime result has been 1-0, occurring in 4 of their 8 games. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. This is a team that often takes the lead first, having opened the scoring in 15 of their last 17 Ligue 1 games. Out of these 15 matches, they went into halftime ahead in 9 and maintained that advantage until the final whistle in 12.

Paris Saint-Germain comes into this clash after their defeat, 0-1, at home against Paris FC in the Coupe de France. In their last match in Ligue 1, the hosts won against Paris FC (2-1). The home team typically plays with a 4-3-3 tactical setup, emphasizing an organized style of play, yet also being very effective in counterattacks. In this setup, the three players leading the line will be Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé, and Désiré Doué. The brain of the team is midfielder Vitinha, responsible for orchestrating and leading their offensive plays. Absent from this match will be Matvey Safonov and Kang-in Lee, both injured, as well as Ibrahim Mbaye and Achraf Hakimi, who are at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Lille Analysis

The visiting team currently ranks 4th, having garnered 32 points from 10 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured an away win against Auxerre (4-3). In their last match, they lost at home to Rennes (0-2). The team comes into this match after a home defeat against Olympique Lyonnais (1-2). In the league, Lille has accumulated 13 points from a possible 24 over their last 8 away games, comprising 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their attack has been relatively reliable, scoring in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their away matches, as 7 of their last 8 games in the league have ended with over 1.5 goals. Out of 17 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 8 times and managed to turn the score around only twice. Notably, they have scored 13 of their 27 goals within the last minutes (76′-90′).

Lille enters this match after a defeat, 1-2, to Lyon in the Coupe de France. In their last Ligue 1 match, the visitors lost to Rennes (0-2). The away team usually lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, opting for dynamic and supported football, with wingers providing width and midfielders appearing in goal-scoring positions. Up front, the trio of Félix Correia, Matías Fernández, and Olivier Giroud are tasked with causing problems for opposing defenses. The engine of the midfield is midfielder Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, responsible for setting the pace and creating imbalances. Absent from this match will be Benjamin André, Hamza Igamane, Ousmane Touré, André Gomes, and Ethan Mbappé, all injured.

Best prediction for PSG x Lille

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

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