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Progreso vs Danubio Prediction – Primera Division
Check out the best predictions for Progresso vs Danubio
Discover the best prediction for PROGRESSO vs DANUBIO in the Primera Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read our thorough analysis of both teams below, covering their recent records and key statistics from previous matches to offer the most accurate prediction for the match between Progresso and Danubio.
 Progresso |
|  Danubio |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Progresso and Danubio
The best prediction for Progresso vs Danubio in the Primera Division is a victory for Danubio. The match is likely to be competitive, but the visitors have the upper hand due to their current form, both in terms of technique and morale. Progresso has shown defensive vulnerabilities lately, which Danubio could exploit. This context leads us to believe that Danubio will secure the win in this fixture.
The best prediction for Progresso vs Danubio
Danubio to win
Match preview: Progresso vs Danubio
Progresso and Danubio will face off at Abraham Paladino Park in the 2nd round of the Primera Division. Recent encounters between these teams have been tight, with three draws in their last three meetings. The last clash on 23‑02‑2025 ended in a 1-1 draw. Home advantage could play a significant role here, as Progresso shows notable differences in their home and away results.
Team analysis: Progresso
The home team enters this second round after a defeat in their opening League match against Nacional, losing 1‑0. Interestingly, Progresso has recorded better results away from home, with 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses away compared to just 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses at home. They have secured only 5 points from the last 24 available, with one win, two draws, and five losses from their last eight home matches.
They have not won any of the last four home games in this competition. At halftime, their most frequent scoreline at home has been 0‑1 (5 out of 8 games). They have struggled defensively, conceding goals in 9 out of their last 10 matches in this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home fixtures, as seven of their last eight matches for this competition have featured more than 1.5 goals. Progresso has conceded the first goal in 10 out of their 16 matches and has only managed to come back to secure a win once. Notably, they scored 8 of their 17 goals in the last 20 home matches during the final minutes (76’–90′).
After a lacklustre start to the intermediate phase, Progresso needs to adjust their approach to turn their fortunes around. A more aggressive strategy could help them regain the winning form they’re seeking while competing in front of their home crowd.
Team analysis: Danubio
The visiting team enters this second round after a decisive victory in their opening League match against Miramar Misiones, winning 2‑0. Danubio is less influenced by the home advantage, posting similar results whether at home or away. Their recent form shows 2 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses over the last 30 games, scoring 13 goals and conceding 18. At home, they have accrued 3 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded. Recently, Danubio has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 6 points from 21 available in their last seven games in the championship. The most common scoreline at the break in their away matches has been 0‑0 (3 out of 7 games). Defensively, they’ve conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 outings. They have struggled to score first, managing to open the scoring in just 4 of their last 16 matches, of which they led at halftime only twice and ultimately won just once. In total, they have conceded the first goal 10 times in 16 matches and have only managed one comeback. Their last 9 away matches have seen them score 3 out of their 8 goals during the final minutes (76’–90′), whilst having conceded 4 out of their 11 goals in the same timeframe.
Nonetheless, Danubio is determined to establish themselves among the top teams in this phase. With aspirations to lead Group B, they have made a strong start and now aim for another impressive performance to secure more points, as they strive to improve their current standings.
The best prediction for Progresso vs Danubio
Danubio to win
