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Progreso vs Cerro Largo Prediction – First Division

Check out the best predictions for Progresso vs Cerro Largo

Here you find the best prediction for PROGRESO vs CERRO LARGO in the Primera Division, along with an analysis of the match and betting advice.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics, to provide the best prediction for this match between Progresso and Cerro Largo.

Progress
Progresso

  • 09 August 2025 – 14::00
  • Primera Division

  • 2025
  • Clausura – Round 2
CERRO LARGO LOGO
Cerro Largo


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Progresso and Cerro Largo

The best prediction for Progresso vs Cerro Largo in the Primera Division is over 2.5 goals. Despite their initial defeat, Progresso has indicated improvement and is expected to adopt a more aggressive approach against Cerro Largo, buoyed by their solid away victory. The anticipation is for an open contest, particularly given both teams’ attacking styles, which suggests ample opportunity for goals. With the tendency towards an expansive match and possible defensive lapses, the best prediction is for more than 2.5 goals.

The best prediction for Progresso vs Cerro Largo

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or treble bet suggestion)
Over 2.5 goals (risky suggestion)

Match preview: Progresso vs Cerro Largo

Progresso and Cerro Largo meet at Federico Omar Saroldi Park in the 2nd round of the Primera Division. Recent head-to-head records favour the visitors, who have won all four of their last encounters. The most recent clash, on 07 February 2025, ended with Cerro Largo triumphant by a score of 4-1. An essential factor to consider is the home/away performance, as Progresso shows different results when at home compared to playing away.

Team analysis: Progresso

The home side enters this second round following a defeat in their league opener against Peñarol, losing 2-1. Progresso tends to perform better at home, with a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses at home, compared to their away form which includes 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with 12 goals scored and 26 conceded. In the last 10 home matches in this competition, Progresso has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, earning 11 points from 30 available. They frequently concede goals, having let in their opponents in 8 of their last 10 matches. After allowing the first goal 14 times in 23 matches, they have turned the match around only once. In their last 11 home encounters, they scored 5 of their 10 goals in the final minutes, showing potential for late drama.

Not the ideal start for Progresso, especially in a challenging debut. However, they displayed commendable resilience against the formidable Peñarol. To bounce back from this defeat, they must embrace a more offensive approach, enhancing their chances for a swift recovery against Cerro Largo.

Team analysis: Cerro Largo

The visitors arrive in this second round following a successful debut, winning 2-0 against Juventud. They have maintained consistent form when playing away, with a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses over their last 30 visits. In the league, they’ve accrued 8 points from 30 available, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 matches on the road. The most common half-time score in their away games has been 0-0. While their defensive record has room for improvement, having conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, they have also scored in 7 of those, highlighting the effectiveness of their attack. With 10 early goals conceded in 23 matches, they have only come back to win once. Notably, they found the net 4 times during the latter stages of matches (61’-90’), demonstrating that they possess late-game threat.

Cerro Largo has shown they can assert themselves against opponents in away fixtures. Their win against Juventud in the opening round reflects their capability, and to achieve another positive result, they must repeat this assertiveness, particularly against a Progresso side in search of redemption after their last defeat.

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