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Primavera vs Novorizontino Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check the best predictions for Primavera vs Novorizontino

Here you will find the best prediction for Primavera vs Novorizontino in the São Paulo Championship, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Primavera and Novorizontino.

Primavera logo
Primavera

  • January 17, 2026 – 19::00
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 3
Novorizontino logo
Novorizontino


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Primavera vs Novorizontino

The best prediction for
Primavera vs Novorizontino in the São Paulo Championship is a Primavera win. The team enters the match determined to leverage their home advantage after a challenging debut. Primavera is expected to impose intensity and seek to control the game’s tempo from the initial whistle, aiming to turn every opportunity into a clear goal chance. Novorizontino, even playing away, comes with a solid strategy and attention to detail, attempting to exploit any spaces the opponent may offer. The expectation is that Primavera can capitalize on their momentum and secure the victory against their rival.

Best prediction for Primavera vs Novorizontino

Primavera to win

Match prediction for Primavera vs Novorizontino

The teams Primavera and Novorizontino face off at the Ítalo Mário Limongi Stadium in a match for the Paulista A1 (São Paulo Series A1). There has only been 1 direct encounter in the last 3 years between these two teams, on February 11, 2023, which ended with Novorizontino winning (0-1). In this match, the home factor may play an important role, as both teams show significant differences in results achieved at home and away.

Primavera Analysis

After 1 win and 1 draw, the home team comes into this 3rd round in 9th place, with 1 point. In the previous round, they won at home against Mirassol (3-1), after drawing (1-1) away against Guarani in their first match of the group stage. This team is stronger when playing at home, recording 3 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches; contrasted with 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses at home. Primavera has won 7, drawn 1, and lost 2 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions. The team has allowed goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, indicating that defensive processes need improvement. In 15 matches, they have never managed to turn around the score in the 6 games in which they conceded first. There are notable periods in their last 18 home matches across all competitions, as they conceded 6 of their 15 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Primavera has made it clear that they are not willing to concede points easily in this São Paulo Championship. They entered the competition with the goal of scripting their own narrative and have shown personality on the field. At home, the approach is one of imposition and maximum effort from the first to the last minute. Every match is treated as decisive, leaving no room for relaxation. Defensive consistency and intensity have been evident. Against a dangerous Novorizontino, attention must be heightened. Any mistake could be costly in such a competitive prediction.

Novorizontino Analysis

The visiting team arrives in this 3rd round in 4th place, with 3 points, after 1 win and 1 loss. In their debut, they lost away to Santos (2-1). In the 2nd round, they won at home against Guarani (2-0). This team is impacted by home advantage, showing strength when playing with the support of their fans, having registered 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, with a total of 9 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home, they secured 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with a total of 24 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, Novorizontino has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 5. Their attack has been scoring regularly, managing to convert in 8 of the last 10 games. In their away matches, there is a trend for low-scoring games, with 14 of their last 30 matches finishing with less than 1.5 goals, and 20 of 30 ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 matches, they conceded the first goal 5 times, managing only 1 comeback.

Novorizontino has a tradition in the São Paulo Championship and knows that the elite of São Paulo football does not forgive mistakes. The team has learned to compete in this demanding prediction and does not shy away from playing away from home. On the road, they typically play with personality and mature game reading. The defeat to Santos away served as a wake-up call, not a brake. The squad understands the need to endure and be efficient in critical moments. Against Primavera, the approach is one of respect, but without relinquishing their proactive stance. Coping with pressure against theoretically weaker opponents is part of the challenge.

Best prediction for Primavera vs Novorizontino

Primavera to win

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