👉 What is the recommended bet for Portsmouth vs Derby?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Portsmouth vs Derby, on 12 April 2025, according to our analysts, is: Over 1.5 goals.

👉 Which stadium will host Portsmouth vs Derby?

The Portsmouth vs Derby match on 12 April 2025 will be held at Fratton Park in Portsmouth.

Football preview

Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction – Championship

April 11, 2025[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Portsmouth vs Derby

Here you will find the best prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby for the Championship, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from their latest matches to provide the best prediction for this fixture between Portsmouth and Derby.

Portsmouth

12 April 2025 – 14::00
Championship
2024/2025
NORMAL EXPENDANCE – ROUND 42

Derby

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Portsmouth vs Derby

The best prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby in the Championship is that there will be more than 1.5 goals. Although Portsmouth is expected to adopt a more controlled approach, Derby County possesses the capability to threaten the home defence. It’s worth noting that the previous four encounters between these clubs have resulted in more than one goal at the conclusion of regular time. Therefore, backing the market for “over 1.5 goals” in this match is a compelling option.

The best prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (live bet prediction)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or treble bet)

Match preview: Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth and Derby play at Fratton Park in the 42nd match round of the Championship. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on 13‑12‑2024, Derby County secured a convincing 4-0 victory at home. The recent head-to-head record favours the away side, which has managed 1 victory and 4 draws over the last 5 matches. In this fixture, the home advantage could play a significant role, as there are notable discrepancies in each team’s performance when playing home versus away.

Team analysis: Portsmouth

The home side is currently positioned in 17th place, having accumulated 45 points from 12 wins, 9 draws and 20 losses. In their second last match, they suffered a loss away to Millwall (2‑1), and in their last match, they lost 1-0 to Coventry City. Portsmouth tend to perform better at home; from their last 30 matches, they have recorded just 1 victory, 1 draw and 13 defeats as the away side, scoring 9 goals while conceding 31. In contrast, they have enjoyed 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at home, netting 27 goals and letting in 11. In their last 10 home fixtures in the Championship, Portsmouth have mustered 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, earning 22 points from a possible 30. Indeed, the most common scoreline at the end of the first 45 minutes at their ground has been 0-0, occurring in 7 out of their 20 games. The team has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 fixtures, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has been relatively effective, successfully scoring in 8 of their last 10 Championship encounters. Notably, in 41 games this season, they have only managed to turn around the score in 3 out of the 22 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Portsmouth enter this match in low spirits following a 1-0 defeat at Coventry City. The home side generally lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Matt Ritchie, Josh Murphy and Colby Bishop serving as primary attacking options. In midfield, Adil Aouchiche is crucial for dictating tempo and coordinating offensive actions, being key in linking defense with attack. Coach John Mousinho will be without Connor Ogilvie due to suspension, alongside Alexander Milosevic, Conor Shaughnessy, Hayden Matthews, Paddy Lane, Jacob Farrell, Ibane Bowat, and Callum Lang, all of whom are struggling with physical issues.

Team analysis: Derby

The visitors currently sit in 21st place, having collected 42 points through 11 wins, 9 draws and 21 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost 1-0 away to Swansea City, and in the previous match, they managed to draw at home against Burnley (0-0). Derby has also been impacted by their away performances, having recorded only 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses in their last 30 games on the road, scoring 13 goals and conceding 25. When playing at home, their record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, along with 15 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the Championship, Derby has earned just 5 points from 30 possible, with only 1 victory, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 away games. The most frequent score at the end of the first half in their Championship matches has been 0-0, which occurred in 8 of their 21 games. Much like Portsmouth, they too have struggled to turn around their fortunes in games, failing to recover the score in all 22 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Derby County approach this fixture on the back of a goalless draw against Burnley. The visiting side typically employs a 3-5-2 tactical formation, with Jerry Yates and Marcus Harness taking up primary attacking duties. In midfield, Liam Thompson is key in orchestrating and distributing play. Derby will be missing Callum Elder, Ryan Nyambe, Ben Osborn, Lars-Jørgen Salvesen, David Ozoh, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Dajaune Brown, and Curtis Nelson due to physical issues.