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Porto vs Gil Vicente Prediction – Primeira Liga

Check out the best predictions for Porto vs. Gil Vicente

Here you will find the best prediction for Porto vs. Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Porto and Gil Vicente.

Porto logo
Porto

  • January 26, 2026 – 20::15
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Porto vs. Gil Vicente

The best prediction for Porto vs. Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga is FC Porto Asian Handicap -1. Porto will have to overcome physical fatigue, but Farioli has proven to have a squad of 15 or 16 players who can manage this load with a few adjustments. Additionally, Gil Vicente has not shown the same level as in the first 10 matches, and with varying difficulties, the dragons are expected to seal another victory. Thus, the Asian handicap (-1) on FC Porto is a more cautious bet that takes this prediction into account.

Best prediction for Porto vs. Gil Vicente

FC Porto Asian Handicap -1

Match prediction for Porto vs. Gil Vicente

The teams Porto and Gil Vicente play at Estádio Do Dragão in a match of the 19th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on August 18, 2025, Porto won away (0-2). At this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. The last time they met at this venue was on August 10, 2024, in a Primeira Liga match that ended with Porto winning (3-0). The goals of the match were scored by Danny Namaso (70′), Iván Jaime (59′), and Galeno (30′) for Porto. In this match, the home advantage could play a significant role since Gil Vicente shows marked differences in results achieved at home compared to away matches.

Porto Analysis

The home team currently sits in 1st place, having earned 52 points from 17 wins and 1 draw. In their penultimate match, they won away against Santa Clara (0-1). In their last match, they also won away against Vitória de Guimarães (0-1). This is a team that maintains its performance when playing away, as in their last 30 matches, they have recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss as visitors; compared to 13 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss at home. The team arrives at this match after drawing away with Viktoria Plzeň (1-1). In the league, Porto earned 22 points out of 24 possible, having won 7 and drawn 1 of their last 8 home matches.

For this competition, they have a streak of 10 wins in their last matches and have not lost any of their last 18 games. In matches played at home in the league, the most frequent result at half-time was 1-0, which occurred in 4 of their 8 matches. The defense has been solid, conceding goals in only 3 of their last 10 games, while their attack has scored regularly, netting at least once in the last 10 matches in this competition. The team usually has no trouble opening the scoring, having scored first in 16 of their last 18 Primeira Liga matches; from those 16, they led at halftime in 11 and managed to maintain their advantage until the end. There are noteworthy periods in their last 19 home matches in all competitions: they conceded 5 of their 13 goals between the minutes (46′-60′).

FC Porto enters this duel with Gil Vicente after a mid-week draw in the Europa League against Plzen. Once again, the dragons proved to be one of the toughest teams to beat, even in Europe! Now, back in Liga Portugal, it’s time to continue making history and extend their winning record. So far, they have 17 wins in 18 encounters, with José Mourinho being the only coach capable of taking points from the dragons. More pragmatically, Farioli’s team won (1-0) against Santa Clara and Vitória. It’s only natural that with the fatigue brought from the game in the Czech Republic, FC Porto will once again wear their “work clothes.”

Confirmed lineup: Diogo Costa, Thiago Silva, Alberto Costa, Martim Fernandes, Jakub Kiwior, Alan Varela, Gabri Veiga, Stephen Eustaquio, Pepê, Samu Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.
Manager: S. Marceneiro Conceição.

Gil Vicente Analysis

After 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, the visiting team is in 4th place, having earned 31 points. In their last match, they won against Nacional at home (2-1), after having drawn at home against Sporting CP (1-1) in the previous match. This is a team that interestingly performs better away than at home, as in their last 30 matches, they recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 22 goals and conceding 13. At home, they have 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a total of 14 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the league, Gil Vicente has earned 14 points from 27 possible, winning 3, drawing 5, and losing 1 in their last 9 away matches.

In this competition, they have drawn their last 4 matches away and have not lost any of their last 5 outings as visitors. Defensive stability has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, netting in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 18 matches in this competition, they have never managed to come back after conceding the first goal in the 4 games where they fell behind.

The Gil Vicente team maintains its 4th position, and in their last match, they defeated Nacional, preventing Sporting Braga from overtaking them. However, with 31 points, just 1 more than Sporting Braga, Gil Vicente now finds itself without margin for error; anything less than a victory at Estádio do Dragão could cost them a drop to 5th place, swapping with the Braga team. Unbeaten in their last 5 away games, this team, led by César Peixoto, will attempt to capitalize on the fatigue of their opponent while staying true to their identity, hoping to at least score.
 

Confirmed lineup: Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira, Buatu, Ghislain Konan, Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert, José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves, Santiago García González, Luís André Leite Esteves, Zé Carlos, Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela, Joelson Fernandes, Murilo de Souza Costa.
Manager: I. Abreu Vieira.

Best prediction for Porto vs. Gil Vicente

FC Porto Asian Handicap -1

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