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Porto vs Benfica Prediction – Primeira Liga” → “Porto vs Benfica Prediction – Primeira Liga

Check out the best predictions for Porto vs Benfica

Here you find the best prediction for Porto vs Benfica in the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches, to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Porto and Benfica.

Porto Logo
Porto

  • 06 April 2025 – 19::30
  • First League

  • 2024/2025
  • Normal Time – Round 28
Benfica Logo
Benfica


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Porto and Benfica

The best prediction for Porto vs Benfica in the Primeira Liga is that both teams will score. FC Porto must secure a win to reduce the gap with Benfica and attempt to reach the 2nd place since they are also vying for the 3rd spot with Sporting Braga. For Benfica, a potential draw may have negative repercussions in their fight for the top position. FC Porto remains unbeaten at the Dragon Stadium in the league but considering both teams’ attacking intent—with the Porto defence conceding in 5 of their last 6 matches—and the fact that Benfica has scored in 90% of their last 10 away fixtures, the prediction of both teams to score is quite plausible.

The best prediction for Porto vs Benfica

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bets)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)

Do both teams score? Yes

Match preview: Porto vs Benfica

Porto and Benfica are set to clash at the Dragão stadium in the 28th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on 10 November 2024, Benfica triumphed at home with a score of 4-1. The historical results from past matches within this stadium favour the home side, who won 3, drew 1, and lost just 1 of their last 5 meetings. Notably, in the most recent match at this venue for the league on 3 March 2024, Porto emerged victorious with a resounding 5-0 win. Porto’s goals in that match were netted by Danny Namaso (90’), Wenderson Galeno (44’ and 20’), Pepê (75’), and Wendell (55’). Analyzing the home versus away condition is essential, as Porto’s performances differ significantly based on location.

Team analysis: Porto

The home team currently occupies 3rd place, with 56 points garnered from 17 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. In their second-to-last match, they secured a home victory against AVS (2-0), while their last match saw them win away at Estoril (2-1). Porto tends to perform better at home; over the last 30 matches, they have achieved 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, compared to 9 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 loss at home.

In this season, they are unbeaten in their last 13 home matches in the league. Typically, the most frequent scoreline at half-time in their home games has been 1-0 (5 out of 13 games). However, defensively, they have allowed goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. Though their defensive solidity may be questionable, their attack has been prolific, scoring in 9 out of their last 10 league games. Interestingly, in their home matches, there has been a goal surge, with all of their last 13 league games witnessing more than 1.5 goals. In 27 league matches, they managed to come from behind to win in only 1 of the 10 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

As Porto enters this crucial clash against Benfica, they trail by 9 points, with Benfica also just 9 points behind the leaders Sporting, highlighting the tight race for the top spots. This season has presented numerous challenges for Porto, with ongoing issues both on and off the pitch impacting their squad quality. Despite these struggles, Porto arrives with a current streak of 2 consecutive wins, first against AVS at home (2-0), followed by an away victory against Estoril (2-1). Prior to these victories, they suffered a defeat against Sporting Braga, with whom they share the same points. This match against Benfica represents a vital opportunity for Porto to narrow the gap and contest for 2nd place, as anything less could see them in a tight race with Sporting Braga for 3rd place.

Team analysis: Benfica

The visiting side currently sits in 2nd place with 62 points, having secured 21 victories, 2 draws, and 4 losses. In their penultimate match, Benfica won away against Gil Vicente (3-0) and followed that with a home victory over Farense (3-2). This team displays resilience, showing similar results whether at home or on the road, as evidenced by their last 30 matches featuring 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses away, yielding a total of 27 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home, they recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 39 goals and conceding 15. In the last 10 away league matches, Benfica has managed 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, earning 22 out of 30 possible points.

Their attacking prowess has been consistent, finding the net in each of their last 10 competitive outings. In their 27 league matches, they have successfully reversed the score in 3 of the 7 games where they conceded the first goal.

Benfica is engaged in a closely fought battle for leadership. With only 7 rounds remaining, they are currently level on points with Sporting. They come into this match after another narrow victory, albeit a shaky one against Farense (3-2), which left their supporters on edge until the final whistle. Similar concerns were evident in their previous match against Rio Ave, where they managed to secure a 3-2 win after leading by 2 goals. This indicates that Benfica is facing more challenges compared to Sporting at this moment. While these difficulties may pose issues ahead, the pressure is palpable as Benfica realises that any points lost in their race against Sporting could be tough to recover, heightening the stakes for this clash in the Dragon Kingdom.

Best predictions for this match

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bets)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)

Do both teams score? Yes

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