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Ponte Preta vs Velo Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Ponte Preta vs Velo

Here you will find the best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Velo in the São Paulo Championship, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Ponte Preta vs Velo.

Ponte Preta logo
Ponte Preta

  • January 14, 2026 – 00::00
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 2
Velo logo
Velo


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Ponte Preta vs Velo

The best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Velo in the São Paulo Championship is a win for Ponte Preta. The Ponte Preta team is coming off a heavy defeat and needs to bounce back quickly while playing at home. Velo, on the other hand, is in the mid-table with a more cautious style and solid defense. Given the home team’s need to react, backing Ponte Preta to win is the recommended bet.

Best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Velo

Ponte Preta to win

Match prediction for Ponte Preta vs Velo

The teams Ponte Preta and Velo face off at the Arena Barueri in a match for the Paulista A1. There has only been one recent head-to-head encounter between these two teams, on January 14, 2023, which ended with a victory for Ponte Preta (1-2).

Analysis of Ponte Preta

The home team is playing their second match after losing 3-0 in their first match of this group stage against Corinthians. In the last 10 home games, Ponte Preta has recorded 7 wins and 3 draws. Their defensive strength has been a key feature, as they have conceded goals in only 3 of their last 10 matches, while their attack has scored regularly, netting in 8 of those 10 games. Matches played at home exhibit a tendency for fewer goals, as 10 of the last 20 have ended with fewer than 1.5 goals, and 18 in 20 with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never come back to win after falling behind.

Ponte Preta enters the second round under pressure following a significant defeat in their opener, placing them at the bottom of the table. The team has struggled defensively and produced little in attack, needing an immediate response at home. They must exhibit a more intense and focused approach to recover and mitigate early competition pressure.

Analysis of Velo

The visiting team arrives at this second round after a goalless draw in their opener against Botafogo SP. In the last 6 away games across all competitions, Velo has drawn all 6. They have allowed goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating a need for improvement in their defense. However, their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 13 games, they have never managed to come back when having conceded the first goal in 7 occasions.

Velo started the championship with a draw and currently sits in the mid-table, showcasing a more cautious style of play. They haven’t scored yet but managed to keep a clean sheet, indicating some balance. Playing away against Ponte Preta, Velo should maintain an organized approach, aiming to exploit gaps left by a team hungry for a result.

Best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Velo

Ponte Preta to win

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