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Ponte Preta vs Noroeste Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Ponte Preta vs Noroeste

Here you will find the best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Noroeste in the Paulista Championship, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Ponte Preta and Noroeste.

Ponte Preta logo
Ponte Preta

  • January 24, 2026 – 20::00
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 5
Noroeste logo
Noroeste


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Ponte Preta vs Noroeste

The best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Noroeste in the Paulista Championship is a win for Ponte Preta. The clash between Ponte Preta and Noroeste features two teams pressured by their low standings in the league. Playing at Moisés Lucarelli, Ponte is likely to take the initiative, aiming for a result from the start. Noroeste, on the other hand, tends to compete well but shows defensive weaknesses that often emerge when playing away. Given the home advantage and the need for a reaction, the prediction favors the home team. Betting on a Ponte Preta victory is advised.

Best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Noroeste

Ponte Preta to win

Match prediction for Ponte Preta vs Noroeste

The teams Ponte Preta and Noroeste are set to face off at the Arena Barueri in a match of the Paulista A1. Over the last three years, there are records of only two direct confrontations between these teams: one on February 5, 2025, which ended in a draw (1-2), and the most recent on March 11, 2023, which finished with Ponte Preta winning (2-0).

Ponte Preta Analysis

After four losses, the home team currently sits in 16th place, having not earned any points yet. In their last match, they lost (0-1) at home to São Bernardo, after losing (2-0) away against Capivariano in the previous match. Ponte Preta has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 home games across all competitions.

In this competition, they have lost their last four matches. The defense has not been strong, conceding goals in all of their last four games, and the attack needs to improve drastically, as they have not scored any goals in their last four matches in this competition. In their home games, there is a trend of few goals, with 11 of their last 20 fixtures ending with less than 1.5 goals and 18 out of 20 concluding with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they have never managed to turn around the score in the 6 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Ponte Preta enters the match well aware that their home streak must be treated with utmost seriousness. The drama reflected in the Paulista table raises alarm bells, making each round crucial. Distancing themselves from the 16th position has become an absolute priority behind the scenes. Playing once again in front of their fans, they know there is no room for error. The duel against Noroeste demands intensity, focus, and a competitive attitude from the start. Transforming Moisés Lucarelli into an advantage could be the first step toward a turnaround.

Noroeste Analysis

After three draws and one loss, the visiting team currently occupies the 13th position with 2 points. In their last match, they drew (1-1) at home against Capivariano, after previously drawing (1-1) away against São Bernardo. In their last 10 away games, Noroeste has won 1, drawn 4, and lost 5.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last four matches. The team has also been defensively weak, conceding goals in all their last four games, but their attack has been scoring regularly, converting in 3 out of the last 4 matches in this competition. In their away games, there is a tendency for high-scoring affairs, with 10 out of their last 11 fixtures ending with over 1.5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never managed to come back to win. There is a notable period in their last 11 matches played away in all competitions: scoring 3 of their 7 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Noroeste arrives for another round carrying a sense that their performances could yield more points. The team does create good opportunities in attack, but defensive errors have proven costly, compromising important results. They have yet to win away in the Paulista, which increases the pressure for a prompt response. A victory in this round would be extremely important for gaining momentum and quickly distancing themselves from the bottom positions in the table. The prediction is one of high alert, as their opponent is in a similar predicament. In a direct clash, concentration and balance will be critical to changing the course of their campaign.

Best prediction for Ponte Preta vs Noroeste

Ponte Preta to win

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