Peñarol vs Progreso Prediction – Primera Division” → “Peñarol vs Progreso Prediction – First Division
Check out the best predictions for Peñarol vs Progresso
Here you will find the best prediction for Peñarol vs Progresso in the top division, as well as match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Peñarol and Progresso.
 Peñarol |
|  Progresso |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Peñarol vs Progresso
The best prediction for Peñarol vs Progresso in the Primera Division is a victory for Peñarol. In this home match, the team is well-positioned to dominate proceedings right from the start, cleverly exploiting Progresso’s defensive weaknesses. Hence, betting on Peñarol to win at half-time appears to have commendable chances of success in this opening match.
The best prediction for Peñarol vs Progresso
Peñarol to win at half time
Match preview: Peñarol vs Progresso
Peñarol and Progresso face off at the Campeón del Siglo Stadium in a first-round clash of the Primera Division. Historically, this venue favours the home side, who have secured victories in all of their last three encounters. The most recent match here was on 24 May 2024, when Peñarol triumphed 3-1. The goals in that match were netted by Léo Coelho (59′ and 70′) and L. Hernández (90′) for Peñarol, while Progresso’s goal came from an own goal by M. Gianoli (44′). The home advantage could prove pivotal, as Progresso has shown stark differences in their performance at home versus away.
Team analysis: Peñarol
The home side contests this match in the Primera Division (Clausura) after finishing in 1st place during the previous qualifying phase (Intermittent Round), amassing a total of 16 points. This is a team that maintains a solid performance even when playing away, as shown by their last 30 games, which include 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses as visitors; compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at their home ground. In their last 10 home matches for the league, Peñarol has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, claiming 19 points out of a possible 30.
In this competition, they have enjoyed victory in the last 6 matches played at home. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. At home, they are prone to goals, as all of their last 10 league matches have featured over 1.5 goals. In 22 matches in this league, they have conceded the first goal only 6 times but have managed to recover to win in 2 of those instances.
Peñarol faces significant pressure to maintain their high standards as they kick off the season in the Apertura and aim to compete among the elite of the Uruguayan league. With the emphasis on strong performances, especially given their home ground advantage, they are expected to show formidable resilience throughout the 90 minutes. With impressive home statistics, they are relying heavily on themselves to overcome Progresso.
Team analysis: Progresso
The visiting side enters this match in the Primera Division (Clausura) after finishing in 6th place during the previous qualifying phase (Intermittent Round), having gained a total of 6 points. This team is notably impacted by the home factor, displaying stronger performance in front of their supporters; their last 30 games reveal 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, contributing to a tally of 12 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home, they have logged 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with 16 goals scored and 25 conceded overall. In this championship, Progresso has obtained 10 points from 30 available, courtesy of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses over their last 10 matches as visitors.
They have suffered defeats in their last 4 away games in this competition. In their away matches, frequent scorelines at half-time include 1-0 (4 in 11 games) and 0-0 (4 in 11 games). Defensive strength has not been their forte, conceding goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. Across 22 matches, they have only managed to turn their fortunes around in 1 of the 14 instances where they conceded first. Over their last 11 away matches in this competition, there is a notable pattern: they have scored 4 of their 9 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.
Progresso is currently sitting perilously close to the lower echelons of the league table at the commencement of the season. They have struggled to overcome certain challenges and will need to rectify several issues to have a fair chance in the Clausura. In this opening match, they face a daunting away environment against the formidable Peñarol, where the odds heavily favour the home side.
The best prediction for Peñarol vs Progresso
Peñarol to win at half time
VIP Group (over 20.000 members)