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Peñarol vs Nacional Prediction – Primera Division

Check out the best predictions for Peñarol vs Nacional

Here you find the best prediction for Peñarol vs Nacional in the Primera Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from past matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Peñarol and Nacional.

Peñarol soon
Peñarol

  • 09 August 2025 – 18::00
  • Primera Division

  • 2025
  • Clausura – Round 2
National soon
Nacional


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Peñarol vs Nacional

The best prediction for Peñarol vs Nacional in the Primera Division is that both teams will score. The classic clash is set to be intense, with both teams showing excellent recent form and notable offensive capabilities. Peñarol tends to rally aggressively when playing at home, while Nacional has demonstrated resilience in their opening match and should exploit any defensive weaknesses. Given their technical parity and attacking styles, betting on both teams to find the net appears to be the most promising option.

Match preview: Peñarol vs Nacional

Peñarol and Nacional will face off at the Campeón del Siglo Stadium in the 2nd round of the Primera Division. Historical encounters at this venue favour the home side, with Peñarol winning 3, drawing 4, and losing 2 of their last 9 matches there. However, their previous meeting at this stadium in a Primera Division fixture on 06‑07‑2025 ended in a stalemate (0‑0) after extra time. The home advantage may prove decisive, as Nacional has shown varying performance levels when playing at home versus away fixtures.

Team analysis: Peñarol

Peñarol enters this match following a 2‑1 victory over Atletico Progreso in their opening encounter. This team is relatively unaffected by home advantage, with similar performance metrics both at home and away. In their last 30 matches, Peñarol has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, scoring 21 goals and conceding 12. Conversely, they achieved 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses at home, netting 23 goals while conceding 15. In their last 10 home games in the championship, Peñarol has secured 7 victories and 3 losses, amassing 21 points from a possible 30.

Overall, they have won their last 7 home games in the competition, with the most common halftime score being 0‑1, occurring in 4 of their 11 home fixtures. Their attack has been consistent, finding the back of the net in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. Notably, in their home games, there is a clear tendency for goals, with 11 of their last 11 fixtures concluding with over 1.5 goals. Across 23 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 7 times but managed to overturn the deficit in 3 of those instances.

Peñarol is known for their exciting clashes, and this match will likely be no exception. With impressive statistics at home this season, they will likely exert pressure from the outset, boosted by their recent significant win over Progress.

Team analysis: Nacional

The visiting team arrives for this fixture after a convincing 5‑2 victory against Montevideo City Torque in their opening round. Interestingly, Nacional has performed noticeably better in away games compared to at home; over the last 30 matches, they boast 10 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 losses on the road, scoring 36 goals and conceding 16. Meanwhile, at home, they have achieved 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, netting 29 goals and conceding 14. In the last 10 matches in the championship, Nacional has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, gaining 25 points out of a possible 30.

In this competition, they have achieved a sequence of 5 consecutive wins in away matches and have been undefeated in their last 9 games outside their stadium. Nevertheless, defensive solidity has not been a strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, while their attack has been reliable, finding the net in 9 of the last 10 encounters in this competition. Away from home, they have demonstrated a tendency for high-scoring games, with 7 of the last 10 matches concluding with over 2.5 goals. Out of 24 games in this competition, they have managed to come back from being behind in 3 out of the 8 games where they conceded first.

Nacional has showcased impressive credentials in this campaign, following their notable 5-2 victory in the opener, demonstrating excellent teamwork and strategy from the coaching staff throughout the season. With current momentum, they possess the technical prowess to pose a substantial challenge to the formidable Peñarol.

The best prediction for Peñarol vs Nacional

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or triple bet suggestion)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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