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Pasto vs Medellín Prediction – First Division

Check out the best predictions for Pasto vs Medellín

Here you will find the best prediction for Pasto vs Medellín in the Primera División, alongside an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head records and key statistics from their previous games to provide the best prediction for this match between Pasto and Medellín.

Pasto logo
Pasto

  • January 18, 2026 – 19::00
  • Primera División

  • 2026
  • Apertura – Round 1
Medellín logo
Medellín


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Pasto and Medellín

The best prediction for
Pasto vs Medellín – Primera División in the league is a Medellín win. The Ind. Medellín is expected to exploit the opponent’s weaknesses to control the match from the beginning. They will look for opportunities to attack, but will need to manage the home team’s intensity. A competitive clash is anticipated, but Medellín stands a good chance of leaving with the victory.

Best prediction for Pasto vs Medellín

Medellín to win

Match prediction for Pasto vs Medellín

The teams Pasto and Medellín play at the Estadio Departamental Libertad in a match of the Primera División (Apertura). The head-to-head history at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 2, drawn 4, and lost 1 of their last 7 encounters. However, in the last match held at this venue for the Primera División on August 19, 2025, Independiente Medellín won by (1-2). The goals were scored by David Camacho (24′) for Pasto and Francisco Fydriszewski (67′ and 76′) for Medellín. It is important to analyze the home/away condition closely, as Pasto shows different results at home and away.

Pasto Analysis

The home team is making its season debut after finishing the last season in 17th place. They are stronger when playing at home, as they have registered 5 draws and 10 losses away compared to 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses on their home pitch in the last 30 matches. In their last match, a friendly against Bogotá, they won at home by (3-1). In their last 10 home games, Pasto has secured 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. The team has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating a need to improve their defense, although their attack has been scoring consistently, hitting the net in 7 out of the last 10 matches.

The Deportivo Pasto opens the Colombian season with the goal of avoiding difficulties throughout the competition. The team is aware that every point gained from the start can significantly impact the final standings. The home debut brings the need for an attentive and competitive posture, especially against a qualified opponent. The tendency is for a cautious team seeking balance between defense and attack. Playing well will be crucial for having real chances of a good result. Concentration throughout the ninety minutes will be decisive.

Medellín Analysis

This will be the first game for the visiting team in this edition of the competition, after finishing last season in 4th place. This team is not heavily influenced by home advantage, showing similar results both at home and away. In their last 30 games, they recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses away, scoring a total of 26 goals and conceding 18. At home, they achieved 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a total of 27 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last match, they won against Atlético Bucaramanga at home by (3-1). In the last 10 away games, Medellín has won 4, drawn 1, and lost 5. The team has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating defensive processes needing improvement. Interestingly, many of their away games tend to have low scores, as 14 of their last 33 matches ended with under 1.5 goals, and 21 out of 33 ended with under 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 6 times and have never managed to turn the score around. There are noteworthy periods in their last 9 matches played away in all competitions: they scored 5 of their 14 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

The Independiente Medellín heads into their debut with hopes of starting the championship positively. The team usually displays organization and competitiveness, even when playing away. This match is viewed as an important test right at the beginning of the season. The expectation is for a balanced team that aims to control the game and exploit any gaps the opponent offers. Scoring points away is essential for building confidence. The anticipation is for an intense and fiercely contested match.

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