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Paris vs Marseille Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Paris vs Marseille

Here you will find the best prediction for Paris vs Marseille in Ligue 1, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their latest matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between Paris and Marseille.

Paris logo
Paris

  • January 31, 2026 – 16::00
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Marseille logo
Marseille


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Paris vs Marseille

The best prediction for the upcoming match between Paris and Marseille in Ligue 1 is that there will be over 2.5 goals. It is expected that Marseille will dominate the match; however, both teams have been providing entertaining displays, characterized by a high number of goal-scoring opportunities. Notably, the “Over 2.5 Goals” market has been successful in 56% of Marseille’s away games. Therefore, a positive style of football is anticipated from both sides, with both nets likely to be targeted.

Best prediction for Paris vs Marseille

Less than 1.5 goals

Match prediction for Paris vs Marseille

The teams Paris and Marseille will meet at Stade Jean Bouin in a match of the 20th round of Ligue 1. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on August 23, 2025, Olympique Marseille won at home by (5-2).

Paris Analysis

The home team is currently in 14th place with 20 points, after 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they won away against Nantes (1-2). In their last game, they drew at home against Angers SCO (0-0). In their last 9 home league games, Paris has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, earning 9 points from a possible 27.

Notably, they have not won at home in 6 matches in this competition. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches they played in this competition, indicating a weakness in their defense. In 19 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 11 times and managed only 1 comeback in the scoreline.

Paris enters this match following a 0-0 draw against Angers, thus achieving their second consecutive match without losing in Ligue 1. The home team plays in a tactical system of 5-3-2, aiming for a quicker style of play with constant transitions. In this setup, the two players responsible for creating panic in the opponent’s area are Jean-Philippe Krasso, Ilan Kebbal, and Alimami Gory. When engaging in offensive play, they usually do so through the right flank, utilizing the depth offered by Hamari Traoré. Available players include Kevin Trapp, Otávio, Moustapha Mbow, Nhoa Sangui, Hamari Traoré, Timothée Kolodziejczak, Vincent Marchetti, Adama Camara, Alimami Gory, Jean-Philippe Krasso, and Ilan Kebbal.
Coach: T. Laurey.

Marseille Analysis

The visiting team currently sits in 3rd place with 38 points, having achieved 12 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they won away against Angers SCO (2-5). In their last game, they won at home against Lens (3-1). In their latest match in the UEFA Champions League, they lost to Club Brugge away (3-0). In their last 9 away league matches, Marseille has recorded 5 wins and 4 losses, earning 15 points from a possible 27. For their league matches as visitors, the most frequent halftime score was 0-0 (4 in 9 games). The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 matches, reflecting a lack of solid defensive formation; however, their attack has been regularly finding the net, scoring in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. Out of 19 matches in this competition, they have only managed 2 comebacks in the 8 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

Marseille enters this match following a 3-0 defeat during their visit to Club Brugge in a UEFA Champions League game. In their last match in Ligue 1, the visitors beat Lens by 3-1. The visiting team typically employs a 3-4-3 formation, where the three most advanced players are Amine Gouiri, Mason Greenwood, and Hamed Junior Traorè. When they focus on offensive strategies, they usually exploit the right flank, taking advantage of the depth provided by fullback Timothy Weah. Given the tactical setup, one of the major strengths of the visiting team is their attacking style from the wings. All players are available for this match.

Confirmed lineup: Gerónimo Rulli, Leonardo Balerdi, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Ethan Nwaneri, Quinten Timber, Hamed Junior Traoré, Timothy Weah, Amine Gouiri, Igor Paixão.
Coach: André Villas-Boas.

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