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Palmeiras vs Mirassol Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Palmeiras x Mirassol

Here you will find the best prediction for Palmeiras x Mirassol in the Paulista Championship, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Below, read our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Palmeiras x Mirassol.

Palmeiras logo
Palmeiras

  • January 17, 2026 – 23::30
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Serie A1 – Round 3
Mirassol logo
Mirassol


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Palmeiras x Mirassol

The best prediction for Palmeiras x Mirassol in the Paulista Championship is under 2.5 goals. Palmeiras arrives with mental strength and technical superiority, even while using some alternative players, while Mirassol relies on prudence and tactical discipline away from home. The home team is expected to impose control and intensity, limiting the opponent’s space and turning the game into a test of endurance. The expectation is that Palmeiras will manage to dominate the game without taking many risks, resulting in a match with fewer than 2.5 goals, given the balance between defensive caution and offensive efficiency.

Best prediction for Palmeiras x Mirassol

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

Match prediction for Palmeiras x Mirassol

The teams Palmeiras and Mirassol face off at Allianz Parque in a match for the Paulista A1 (Paulista Series A1). The head-to-head record at this stadium shows balance between these two teams, as there has been 1 draw and 1 victory for each team in the last 3 matches. The last time they met at this stadium was on July 16, 2025, in a Serie A match that ended in a 1-1 draw. The goals in that match were scored by Facundo Torres (54′) for Palmeiras and Francisco da Costa (72′) for Mirassol. In this match, the home factor could play a decisive role, as Mirassol has shown differences in performance in their games at home and as visitors.

Analysis of Palmeiras

The home team arrives at this 3rd round in 7th place, with 3 points earned from 2 victories. In their debut, they won away against Portuguesa by 1-0. In the 2nd round, they won at home against Santos by 1-0. This is a team that maintains performance when playing away, as in their last 30 games they have recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses as visitors; compared to 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss at home. In their last 10 home games, Palmeiras has 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss. In their home games, there is a trend for few goals, as 17 of their last 40 matches ended with fewer than 1.5 goals and 25 out of 40 ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only managed to come back once.

Despite using some alternative players, Palmeiras continues to exhibit almost unrelenting mental strength. The team led by Abel Ferreira maintains high focus, regardless of the changes, and this is reflected in how they compete in every duel. Their prominence in the Paulistão is treated as a priority, with no concessions or relaxation. At home, Verdão turns the game into a test of endurance for any opponent. Intensity, emotional control, and game reading remain their trademarks. Each match becomes an exercise in authority. And Mirassol knows that in this prediction, any distraction can be fatal.

Analysis of Mirassol

After 1 victory and 1 loss, the visiting team arrives in this 3rd round in 3rd place, with 3 points earned. In the previous round, they lost away against Primavera SP by 3-1, after winning their first game in this group phase at home against São Paulo by 3-0. This is a stronger team when playing at home, as in their last 30 games they have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses away; compared to 10 wins and 5 draws at home. In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, Mirassol has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 5. Their attack has scored regularly, as they managed to score in 7 of their last 10 games. In 15 matches, they have never been able to come back after conceding the first goal in the 5 games where they were behind.

After a successful year, Mirassol begins a new season eager to show that their rise is not temporary. The team arrives at the Paulistão with renewed ambition and a clear desire to surprise yet again. However, they know that the start of the campaign often demands maturity, especially in away games. Against a powerful Palmeiras, every detail carries decisive weight. The approach is likely to be cautious, with tactical discipline and sharp game reading. At times, opting not to attack can be a sign of intelligence, rather than fear. Surviving the initial minutes and managing risks will be part of the challenge. If they can balance courage and prudence, Mirassol may emerge stronger, regardless of the result.

Best prediction for Palmeiras x Mirassol

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

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