Palmeiras vs Grêmio Prediction – Brazilian Serie A
Check out the best predictions for Palmeiras vs Grêmio
Here you will find the top prediction for Palmeiras vs Grêmio in the Brazileirão Série A, along with a match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Palmeiras vs Grêmio.
 Palmeiras |
|  Grêmio |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Palmeiras vs Grêmio
The best prediction for Palmeiras vs Grêmio in the Brazileirão Série A is a victory for Palmeiras. Playing at Allianz Arena, Palmeiras often take control from the outset, and given Grêmio’s inconsistent performances, the São Paulo side is favoured. Their solid home record could be a decisive factor. Therefore, the best bet for this match is for Palmeiras to win the first half.
The best prediction for Palmeiras vs Grêmio
Palmeiras to win at half time
Match preview: Palmeiras vs Grêmio
Palmeiras and Grêmio meet at Allianz Parque in a clash for the 17th round of the Brazileirão Série A. Historical encounters at this venue favour the home side, who have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 meetings here. In their most recent match on 9 November 2024, Palmeiras secured a 1-0 victory, with the only goal coming from Stephen in the 73rd minute. The home/away form deserves consideration, as although Palmeiras sits 4th and Grêmio 13th in the overall standings, this is essentially a contest between the 17th-ranked team at home and the 12th when playing away.
Team analysis: Palmeiras
The home side is currently 4th, with 26 points from 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. They recently won 3-2 against Atlético Mineiro at home and secured a 2-1 victory away to Fluminense. Interestingly, Palmeiras has performed better as visitors this season, accumulating 15 points on the road compared to just 11 at home. Over their last 7 league games at home, they have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, earning a total of 11 points from 21 available. Defensively, they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of solidity at the back, but their attack remains potent, scoring in 8 out of their last 10 matches in this competition. At home, they often see fewer goals, as evidenced by 21 of their last 34 games featuring fewer than 3 goals. In this competition, they conceded the first goal in 5 out of 14 matches, managing to turn the scoreline around twice. Notably, they conceded 4 out of their 11 goals in the last 20 matches at home during the final minutes (76’–90′).
At Allianz Arena, Palmeiras seldom allows their opponents to dominate. They boast excellent statistics in this environment and face another significant challenge in the Brazileirão this season, relying solely on their own efforts to succeed. To maintain their pursuit of the top spot in the league table, focusing right from the kick-off is crucial for them to achieve a convincing win against Grêmio.
Team analysis: Grêmio
The visiting side is currently 13th with 17 points, accrued from 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. They suffered a heavy defeat, losing 4-1 away to Cruzeiro in their penultimate match, and drew 1-1 with Vasco da Gama in their most recent outing. This team has struggled away from home, managing only 5 points on the road while securing 12 at their own ground, having scored 7 goals and conceded 6 at home, versus 7 scored and 14 conceded away. Grêmio arrives at this match following a 1-1 draw with Alianza Lima. In their last 7 league games as visitors, they have only mustered 5 points, featuring 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Defensively, they have not been strong, conceding in 7 of their last 10 matches, although they have scored at least once in each of those games. In 14 games during this competition, they have failed to turn around the score in all 5 instances when they conceded first. Among their last 20 away games across all competitions, there’s a notable trend, with 12 of their 31 goals conceded occurring between the 76th and 90th minutes.
Grêmio has faced numerous challenges in recent Brazileirão matches. Despite managing to scrape points through draws, the team needs to improve their overall performance, which highlights the necessity of reassessing their strategies. Adopting a more reactive approach this round might be critical to enhancing their chances of surprising the formidable Palmeiras at Allianz Arena.
Best predictions for this match
Palmeiras to win at half time
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