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Palmeiras vs Botafogo Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Here, you will find the best prediction for Palmeiras vs Botafogo for the Brasileirão Serie A, along with match analysis and betting advice.

Read on for our in-depth analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from their last games, to provide the most accurate prediction for this match between Palmeiras and Botafogo.

Palmeiras Logo
Palmeiras

  • 30 March 2025 – 19::00
  • Brasileirão Serie A

  • 2025
  • Normal Time – Round 1
Botafogo Logo
Botafogo


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Palmeiras vs Botafogo

The best prediction for Palmeiras vs Botafogo in the Brasileirão Serie A is less than 2.5 goals. This encounter is expected to be tightly contested, with both teams likely adopting a cautious approach at the start of the campaign, thereby prioritising defensive stability. Consequently, the expectation is for a match with fewer clear-cut chances, making a bet on under 2.5 goals a reasonable option.

The best prediction for Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or treble bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky bet)

Match preview: Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Palmeiras and Botafogo are set to clash at Allianz Parque in their opening round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Historical encounters at this stadium favour the visitors, with Botafogo winning 2, drawing 2, and losing just 1 of their last 5 matches. Interestingly, in their most recent match at this venue for Serie A on 27-Nov-2024, Botafogo triumphed 3-1. The goals were scored by Richard Ríos (90′) for Palmeiras, while Jefferson Savarino (73′), Gregore (19′), and Adryelson (89′) netted for Botafogo. It’s crucial to pay attention to the home/away performance, as both teams exhibit significantly different results when playing at home compared to away.

Team analysis: Palmeiras

The home side makes their entry into this season after finishing 2nd in the previous edition. Interestingly, Palmeiras has secured better results on the road than at home, achieving 10 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 loss as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 28 goals and conceding 13. In stark contrast, their home record stands at 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 24 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their latest fixture, they drew 0-0 away against Corinthians. When playing at home in their last 10 matches, Palmeiras has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. They have consistently found the net in 7 of those 10 games. Of their 15 matches, they conceded the opening goal 4 times but managed to turn it around on 2 occasions. In the last 20 home games across all competitions, they notably conceded 6 of their 17 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.

After competing in the final of the Paulista Championship, Palmeiras shifts its focus entirely to the Brasileirão, aiming for the title after being the runner-up last season. With the benefit of home advantage, they are inclined to assert their style of play right from the outset. With a talented squad at their disposal, maintaining possession and controlling the play will be critical to minimising defensive lapses. Their tactical solidity is one of the team’s strengths, as they often convert the chances created. Securing a win in the opening match is vital for building confidence and establishing their dominance from the start.

Team analysis: Botafogo

This match marks the visiting side’s first appearance in the current competition after finishing last season in 1st place. Curiously, Botafogo presents a better record as visitors than at home, with 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 13. Their home statistics show 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a total of 21 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last match, played for the South American Recopa, they lost 0-2 at home to Racing Club. Across their last 10 away matches, Botafogo has achieved 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. The defence has conceded goals in 8 of the latest 10 games, highlighting areas for improvement. Their away games often see fewer goals, with 15 of their last 34 matches ending with under 1.5 goals and 21 matches with under 2.5 goals. Of their 15 games, they fell behind first 11 times and failed to recover any of those matches. Notably, in their last 20 away games in all competitions, they scored 11 of their 23 goals during the 76th to 90th minutes.

As the current champions of Brazil, Botafogo begins their title defence with the understanding that they must deliver more consistent performances than in the initial months of the season. Facing a strong opponent in their opening match will undoubtedly be a challenge. Given this context, they are likely to adopt a more reserved strategy, focusing on solid defensive play and taking advantage of counterattacks. Defensive resilience will be crucial in countering Palmeiras’ pressure and striving for a favourable result. A strong start to the campaign can significantly boost their confidence and momentum.

The best prediction for Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or treble bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky bet)

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