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Noroeste vs Capivariano Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Noroeste vs Capivariano

Here you will find the best prediction for Noroeste vs Capivariano in the São Paulo Championship, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Noroeste and Capivariano.

Noroeste logo
Noroeste

  • January 21, 2026 – 22::00
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 4
Capivariano logo
Capivariano


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Noroeste vs Capivariano

The best prediction for Noroeste vs Capivariano in the São Paulo Championship is less than 2.5 goals. This matchup features teams at different points in the standings. Noroeste is still looking for its first win and has struggled to impose itself, even playing at home. In contrast, Capivariano has been more efficient and sits higher in the standings, making better use of its opportunities. Given the defensive balance and the tendency for a more tightly contested game, betting on fewer than 2.5 goals is advisable.

Best prediction for Noroeste vs Capivariano

Less than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion for double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

Match prediction for Noroeste vs Capivariano

The teams Noroeste and Capivariano face each other at the Dr. Alfredo de Castilho Stadium in a match for the Paulista A1 (São Paulo Series A1). The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 2 and drawn 1 of their last 3 encounters. However, in the last clash at this venue, on January 21, 2024, the match ended in a 2-2 draw. The goals were scored by Carlão (90′ and 2′) for Noroeste and by Neto Costa (77′ and 22′) for Capivariano. In this match, the home advantage may play a crucial role, as Capivariano has shown differences in performance when playing at home versus away.

Noroeste Analysis

The home team is currently in 14th place, with 1 point gained from 2 draws and 1 loss. In their last match, they drew away to Botafogo SP (1-1) and also drew against São Bernardo (1-1). This team is less affected by the home factor, showing similar results both at home and away. In their last 30 matches, they have 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 13 goals and conceding 20, compared to 3 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses at home, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded. Noroeste has won 3, drawn 5, and lost 2 of its last 10 home matches across all competitions. Their defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring regularly, netting goals in 7 of their last 10. In their home games, there is a trend for fewer goals, with 5 of their last 11 matches finishing with less than 1.5 goals and 7 out of 11 with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they have never managed to turn around a deficit in the 8 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Noroeste holds the 13th position in the table, with only two points from three matches, resulting from two draws and one loss. The team is still searching for its first victory in the competition and has struggled to convert possession into goals, having only scored twice so far. Playing at home, the team sees this match as a good opportunity to bounce back, improve their points tally, and distance themselves from the bottom of the standings.

Capivariano Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 4th place, having earned 6 points from 2 wins and 1 loss. In their last match, they won at home against Portuguesa (1-0) and previously defeated Ponte Preta (2-0). This team is positively influenced by home games, being stronger when playing in front of their fans, as in their last 30 matches they record 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 15 goals and allowing 18. At home, they have achieved 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, totalizing 20 goals scored and 7 conceded. Their last away match in this competition ended in a 4-0 defeat to São Bernardo. In their last 10 away games, Capivariano has won 4, drawn 1, and lost 5. Of the 15 games, they have gone down first 4 times and have never turned the score around.

Capivariano is positioned fourth, with six points from three matches, scoring two wins and one loss. Despite a negative goal difference, the team has been efficient in crucial moments and has shown the ability to compete well against various opponent styles. As the visiting team, their goal is to maintain their regularity and seek a positive outcome that solidifies their standing among the top teams.

Best prediction for Noroeste vs Capivariano

Less than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting suggestion)
Less than 3.5 goals (live betting suggestion for double or triple)
Less than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

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