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Norderstedt vs St. Pauli Prediction – German Cup

Check out the best predictions for Norderstedt vs. St. Pauli

Here you will find the best prediction for Norderstedt vs. St. Pauli in the German Cup, alongside match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Norderstedt and St. Pauli.

Norderstedt
Norderstedt

  • 16 August 2025 – 13::30
  • DFB Pokal

  • 2025/2026

  • Round 1

St. Pauli Logo
St. Pauli


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Norderstedt vs. St. Pauli

The best prediction for Norderstedt vs. St. Pauli in the German Cup is a win for St. Pauli. St. Pauli is expected to take control early and establish a lead before the break. The difference in both technical and physical capacities between the two teams is apparent. With a challenging fixture against Borussia Dortmund on the horizon, St. Pauli will likely aim to resolve the match quickly and manage the pace thereafter. Norderstedt, who typically concedes an average of 2.75 goals per match at home, is likely to struggle against the initial pressure. A goal in the early minutes could pave the way for a match where St. Pauli dictates proceedings until the final whistle.

Match preview: Norderstedt vs. St. Pauli

Norderstedt and St. Pauli will clash at the Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion in a DFB Pokal encounter (Round 1). Recent match data shows no previous meetings between these sides. It’s essential to observe the home and away form, as both teams demonstrate significantly different results when playing at home versus away.

Team analysis: Norderstedt

The home team is gearing up for their first match in this season’s DFB Pokal, aiming to leverage the home advantage for a positive outcome. Interestingly, Norderstedt has performed better on the road, amassing 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, compared to 6 victories, 2 draws, and 7 defeats at home. They approach this match following a victory against Phönix Lübeck (0-2). In their last 10 matches at home across all competitions, Norderstedt has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Defensive stability has been a concern, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 games, though their attack remains consistent, having scored at least once in each of their last 10 outings. Their matches tend to witness goals, with 16 out of their last 16 home games seeing over 1.5 goals, and 13 of those featuring over 2.5 goals. When behind in scoring, they have never managed to turn the match around in the 6 games where they conceded first.

Eintracht Norderstedt enters this fixture as the clear underdog. Playing at home in the compact Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, their strategy should focus on keeping their lines tight, closing gaps, and exploring counter-attacking opportunities or set pieces. Competing in the German fourth division, they do display some attacking promise. In the last 10 home games, they have averaged 2 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per match, revealing a team that takes risks and creates chances but also leaves considerable space defensively. Against a higher-calibre opponent, the challenge will lie in withstanding pressure, minimising errors, and making the most of scarce transition moments to create scoring opportunities.

Team analysis: St. Pauli

The visiting team marks their first appearance in this season’s DFB Pokal with the ambition of securing a positive result and springing a surprise on the home side. Interestingly, St. Pauli has recorded more favourable results away than at home in their last 30 matches, with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses on the road, netting 22 goals and conceding 17. At home, they’ve tallied 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with 10 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their most recent fixture, they fell to Drochtersen/Assel (1-0) in a friendly. In the last 10 away games, St. Pauli managed 2 wins, along with 4 draws and 4 defeats. Defensive solidity has not been their hallmark, having conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 fixtures. This team rarely opens scoring first, achieving this feat in only 3 of their last 15 matches, with 2 of those leading at half-time and winning at the end of 90 minutes. In 15 instances, they have turned around only 1 match from behind after conceding first.

On a positive note, St. Pauli arrives buoyed by their recent return to the Bundesliga. They possess a greater competitive rhythm, enhanced technical and physical quality, and a match plan centred around possession and patient build-up. They are likely to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation, featuring width and excellent mobility to infiltrate finishing zones. However, away from home, the team exhibits pragmatism, preferring to control the match and manage advantages rather than risking too much. Recent away results highlight a lack of goals scored, yet underlines good defensive consistency.

The best prediction for Norderstedt vs. St. Pauli

St. Pauli to win at half time

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