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Newcastle vs Wellington Prediction – A-League
Check out the best predictions for Newcastle vs Wellington
Here you will find the best prediction for Newcastle vs Wellington in the A-League, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Newcastle vs Wellington.
 Newcastle |  Wellington |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Newcastle vs Wellington
The best prediction for Newcastle vs Wellington in the A-League is over 2.5 goals. The Newcastle Jets are favourites to clinch victory in this encounter, not only due to their home advantage but also based on their recent performances. On the other hand, Wellington Phoenix will be eager for a win and may have to take risks, which could lead to a more open match with several goals. Thus, betting on more than 2.5 goals seems to be a sensible choice in light of this situation.
Match preview: Newcastle vs Wellington
Newcastle and Wellington will face off at McDonald Jones Stadium in a match of the 25th round of the A-League. The last encounter between these teams in this competition took place on 28 December 2024, where Wellington Phoenix emerged victorious at home, winning 2-1. Historically at this venue, the home team has had the upper hand, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 6 encounters. However, their last meeting at this stadium on 19 April 2024 ended in a 1-1 draw, with goals from A. Paulsen (15’ Own Goal) for Newcastle and Kosta Barbarouses (71’) for Wellington. The home advantage could be significant here, given the noticeable differences in performance between home and away games for both teams.
Team analysis: Newcastle
The home team is currently positioned 9th, with a total of 26 points acquired from 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they suffered a heavy defeat at home against Western United, losing 2-6. In their most recent outing, they managed a 3-3 draw against MacArthur. Interestingly, Newcastle has achieved more favourable results away from home compared to their performances at McDonald Jones Stadium. Over the past 30 matches, they have secured 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, scoring 24 goals and conceding 23, whilst at home, they have only recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with 24 goals scored and 32 conceded. In the A-League, Newcastle has obtained 9 points out of a possible 30, thanks to 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses over their last 10 home fixtures. Their defence has not been particularly robust, having conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, yet their attack has been consistent, scoring at least once in each of their last 10 fixtures in the league. In 21 outings, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only managed to turn the result around on one occasion.
The Newcastle Jets continue to be competitive, even after their heavy loss against Western United. They displayed resilience by securing a draw at MacArthur in their following match. This shows their determination and suggests they are on the right track to avoid the relegation zone. With 26 points, Newcastle holds only a slender lead over Central Coast Mariners. In this 25th round, they have the chance to push Wellington Phoenix further down the table, or widen their gap from 5 to 8 points, thereby ensuring they remain ahead of Perth Glory, Brisbane, and Wellington Phoenix.
Team analysis: Wellington
Currently finding themselves in 11th place, the visiting team has accumulated 21 points, with a record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses. In their previous match, they played to a 1-1 draw away at Sydney. Most recently, they drew 2-2 at home against the Western Sydney Wanderers. Wellington seems to be significantly impacted by the home advantage, performing better with their fans behind them. In their last 30 matches as visitors, they have secured 3 wins, 3 draws, and suffered 9 losses, with a total of 14 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home, they have 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, having scored 15 goals and conceded 14. In their last 10 league matches, Wellington has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, collecting just 10 points from a potential 30. Defensively, they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition, showing weaknesses in their defence. Throughout 21 games in the league, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have failed to turn the match around on any occasion.
The Wellington Phoenix continue to have an average season and it seems unlikely that they will climb out of 11th place. Although they are only 4 points adrift of 10th, occupied by Central Coast Mariners, the latter appear to have more to offer than Wellington. In this critical 25th round match at the Newcastle Jets’ home ground, Wellington has a chance to close the gap, but it may also be the fixture that effectively distances them from a shot at 9th place. A draw here would not suffice for Wellington, who need to strive far harder than they have up until now.
The best prediction for Newcastle vs Wellington
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (suggested for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (suggested for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)
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