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Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction – Premier League

Check out the best predictions for Newcastle vs Leeds

Here you will find the best prediction for Newcastle vs Leeds in the Premier League, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head records and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Newcastle and Leeds.

Newcastle logo
Newcastle

  • January 7, 2026 – 20::15
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Leeds logo
Leeds


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Newcastle vs Leeds

The best prediction for Newcastle vs Leeds in the Premier League is a Newcastle win. The quality gap between the two teams is visible, foreseeing a match dominated by the home side, who should take control of the game and create the main scoring opportunities. It’s important to note that Newcastle has won six of their last eight games played at home. Considering these factors, betting on the “Newcastle victory” in this game is a solid choice.

Best prediction for Newcastle vs Leeds

Newcastle to win

Match prediction for Newcastle vs Leeds

The teams Newcastle and Leeds play at St. James’ Park in a match from the 21st round of the Premier League. In their last encounter in this competition on August 30, 2025, the match ended in a (0-0) draw. At this stadium, the historical head-to-head record favors the visiting team, which has 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 games. However, the last time they met at this stadium was on December 31, 2022, in a Premier League match that also ended in a (0-0) draw. In this game, the home factor may play an important role since both teams show significant differences in their results at home and away.

Analysis of Newcastle

The home team is currently in 9th place, with 29 points earned from 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they won away against Burnley (1-3). In their last match, they won at home against Crystal Palace (2-0). This team is affected by the home factor, appearing stronger when playing in front of their fans, as they have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, scoring 20 goals and conceding 20, compared to 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses at home, scoring 30 goals and conceding 13. In the league, Newcastle has gained 20 points from 30 possible, with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 matches played at their stadium.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 7 home games. During matches played at their home stadium in the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 minutes was 0-0, which occurred in 4 of their 10 games. The team has allowed goals to opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity. However, their offense has been consistent, managing to score in 8 of their last 10 games in this competition. In their home matches, there is a trend towards goals, with 7 of their last 10 league matches concluding with more than 2.5 goals. In 20 matches in the competition, they have never managed to overturn the score in all 4 games where they conceded the first goal. In their last 10 home games in this competition, there is one notable period: they conceded 6 of their 12 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Newcastle United enters this round after a victory of 2-0 against Crystal Palace, marking their second consecutive win in this Premier League: the goals were scored by Malick Thiaw and Bruno Guimarães. The home team typically operates in a 4-3-3 tactical system, emphasizing quick transitions, especially through the flanks. In this setup, the three players responsible for causing panic in the opponent’s defense are Harvey Barnes, Anthony Gordon, and Nick Woltemade. When attacking, the team tends to exploit the right flank, taking advantage of the overlaps from fullback Kieran Trippier. William Osula and Dan Burn are both injured and will miss this match.

Confirmed lineup: Nick Pope, Fabian Schär, Malick Thiaw, Lewis Hall, Joelinton, Lewis Miley, Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Yoane Wissa, Jacob Murphy, Anthony Gordon.
Manager: E. Howe.

Analysis of Leeds

The visiting team is currently in 16th place with 22 points earned from 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew away against Liverpool (0-0). In their last match, they drew at home against Manchester United (1-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, appearing stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as they have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away games, scoring a total of 13 goals and conceding 22. At home, they have achieved 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, scoring a total of 32 goals and conceding 16. In the league, Leeds has only gained 6 points out of 30 possible, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 away matches.

In this competition, they have not won as visitors in 7 matches. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 9 of their last 10 games, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their offense has been scoring consistently, managing to find the net in 9 of their last 10 games in this competition. In 20 matches in this competition, they have only managed to come from behind to win in 1 of the 11 games where they conceded the first goal. There is one notable period in the last 10 away matches for this competition: they scored 3 of their 8 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.

Leeds United enters this match after a 1-1 draw against Manchester United, marking their seventh consecutive match without defeat in this Premier League: the team’s only goal was scored by Brenden Aaronson. The team coached by Daniel Farke typically lines up in a 3-5-2 formation, focusing on a possession-based approach and well-designed attacks. Up front, the duo of Noah Okafor and Dominic Calvert-Lewin brings dynamism, intelligence, and a scoring ability that can be decisive against any defense. In midfield, Brenden Aaronson acts as the orchestrator, distributing play judiciously and leading the offensive movements with class. All players are available for this match.

Confirmed lineup: Lucas Perri, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, James Justin, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Brenden Aaronson, Anton Stach, Ilia Gruev, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.
Manager: S. Allardyce.

Best prediction for Newcastle vs Leeds

Newcastle to win

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