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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction – Premier League

Check out the best predictions for Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Here you will find the best prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa in the Premier League, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Newcastle and Aston Villa.

Newcastle logo
Newcastle

  • January 25, 2026 – 14::00
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Matchday 23
Aston Villa logo
Aston Villa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Newcastle vs Aston Villa

The best prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa in the Premier League is that both teams will score. It is expected that much of the game will be dominated by the home side, however, Aston Villa is a team that plays positively, showing few defensive concerns. It is noteworthy that the market for “Both Teams to Score – Yes” has won in six of the last seven games that Newcastle United played at home.

Best prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa

The teams Newcastle and Aston Villa are playing at St. James’ Park in a match of the 23rd round of the Premier League. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on August 16, 2025, the final result was a draw (0-0). In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations favors the home team, who has 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Indeed, the last time they faced each other in this stadium was on December 26, 2024, in a Premier League match that ended with a victory for Newcastle United (3-0). The goals of the match were scored by Anthony Gordon (2′), Alexander Isak (59′), and Joelinton (90′) for Newcastle. In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as Newcastle shows significant differences in their results at home and as visitors.

Newcastle Analysis

After 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, the home team is in 8th place with 33 points. In their last match, they drew against Wolverhampton Wanderers away (0-0), after winning at home against Leeds United (4-3) in the previous game. This is a stronger team when playing at home, as in their last 30 games they record 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, compared to 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss at home. The team arrives at this match after a victory at home against PSV (3-0). In the league, Newcastle has gained 23 points out of 30 possible, after 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 10 games played at home.

In this competition, they have not lost at home for 8 matches. In their league home matches, the most frequent score at halftime was 0-0 (4 in 11 matches). Defensive solidity has not been their strongest point, as they conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, netting in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition. In their matches at home in the league, there is a trend for goals, as 8 out of 11 have finished with over 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 22 matches in this competition, they have only managed 1 comeback in the 5 games where they conceded first. In their last 11 home games in this competition, there are 1 notable periods: they conceded 7 of their 15 goals between minutes (76’–90′).

Newcastle comes into this match with a victory of 3-0 against PSV in a match valid for the Champions League. In the last match in this Premier League, the home team drew 0-0 against Wolves. For this encounter, manager Eddie Howe is expected to align in a 4-3-3 tactical scheme, highlighting the offensive duo of Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade, and Anthony Gordon, key pieces in the local attacking maneuver. Offensive depth and wing dynamism are usually synonymous with imminent danger. Absent from this game are Bruno Guimarães, Fabian Schär, and Valentino Livramento, all with physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Lewis Hall, Sven Botman, Lewis Miley, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon.
Coach: E. Howe.

Aston Villa Analysis

After 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, the away team is in 3rd place with 43 points. In their last match, they lost to Everton at home (0-1), after drawing away against Crystal Palace (0-0) in the previous match. This is a team that maintains good form when playing away, as in their last 30 games they record 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, compared to 12 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses at home. In their last game, in the Europa League, they won against Fenerbahçe away (0-1). In their last 10 away league matches, Aston Villa has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, gaining 18 points from 30 possible. Their away matches often yield common halftime scores of 0-0 (4 in 11 matches) and 1-0 (4 in 11 matches). The team has allowed goals to opponents in 8 of their last 10 games, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, managing to find the net in 8 of their last 10 games in this competition. Out of 22 matches in the Premier League, they suffered the first goal 11 times but managed to turn the score around in 6 instances.

Aston Villa comes into this match motivated after a victory of 0-1 against Fenerbahçe in a game valid for the Champions League. In their last match in this Premier League, the visitors lost to Everton by 0-1. The away team typically plays in a 4-3-3 formation, favoring a quicker style of play with constant transitions. The three players who will cause trouble in the opponent’s area are Evann Guessand, Emiliano Buendía, and Ollie Watkins. It is possible that in the more central area of the field will act Morgan Rogers, Youri Tielemans, and Lamare Bogarde, with the former possessing more offensive traits. Absent from this game are Emiliano Martínez, Leon Bailey, Boubacar Kamara, Harvey Elliott, and Ross Barkley, all with physical problems.

Confirmed lineup: Marco Bizot, Ian Maatsen, Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Amadou Onana, Lamare Bogarde, Morgan Rogers, Youri Tielemans, Evann Guessand, Ollie Watkins.
Coach: U. Emery Etxegoien.

Best prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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