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Necaxa vs Atléticos Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for Necaxa vs Atléticos

Here you will find the best prediction for Necaxa vs Atléticos in Liga MX, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Necaxa and Atléticos.

Necaxa logo
Necaxa

  • January 17, 2026 – 23::00
  • Liga MX

  • 2025/2026
  • Clausura – Round 3
Atléticos logo
Atléticos


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Necaxa vs Atléticos

The best prediction for
Necaxa vs Atléticos in Liga MX is less than 3.5 goals. The teams are likely to have clear goals in this round of the Clausura. Necaxa arrives motivated to assert their dominance at home, while Atléticos plays cautiously and seeks balance in away matches. The expectation is for a low-scoring game, considering Atléticos’ defensive approach and the control Necaxa usually exerts over the match tempo.

Best prediction for Necaxa vs Atléticos

Less than 3.5 goals

Match prediction for Necaxa vs Atléticos

The teams Necaxa and Atléticos will face off at Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes in a match for the 3rd round of Liga MX. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the visiting team, which has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 1 of the last 5 encounters. However, in the most recent clash at this venue—on November 10, 2024—the teams settled for a goalless draw (0-0). In this match, the home advantage could be crucial, as Atléticos has shown varying performances at home versus away.

Necaxa Analysis

Currently sitting in 8th place, the home team has managed to gather 3 points so far. In the first round, they won away at Santos Laguna (1-3). However, in the next round, they faced defeat at home against Monterrey (0-2). This team has maintained a decent performance when playing away, with a record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in the last 30 matches; compared to 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in their home matches. In the last 9 home games in the league, Necaxa has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, earning 12 points out of a possible 27. The team has struggled defensively, conceding goals in every one of their last 10 matches, yet their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 out of their last 10 league games. At home, there is a trend for low-scoring matches, as 7 of their last 9 league games finished with less than 2.5 goals. Out of 19 matches in this competition, they managed to overturn the score only once from the 13 games in which they conceded the first goal. Notably, they have conceded 10 of their 24 goals within the first half of their last 18 home matches in all competitions.

Necaxa is showing clear signs of improvement and is starting to reveal interesting capabilities on the pitch. After a high-level encounter against Monterrey, the team returns to their stadium aiming to dictate the tempo and assert their presence in the Clausura. Confidence is building as the team starts to gel. Against Atléticos, maximum concentration will be essential from the start to the finish. Any lapse in focus could cost them valuable points. The prediction calls for intensity, game awareness, and courage. Accumulating points is crucial to stay firmly in the upper part of the table.

Atléticos Analysis

Currently in 13th place, the visiting team has also secured 3 points. In the first round, they managed to win at home against Puebla (1-0), but experienced a loss in the next match away at Cruz Azul (2-0). This team tends to be stronger at home, with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses away, contrary to 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses at home. In the league, Atléticos has only obtained 5 points from a possible 30, following 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 away matches.

For this competition, they are on a streak of 5 losses in recent away games and haven’t won any of their last 9 matches outside their home stadium. The recurring result in their away league matches is 2-0, which has occurred in 4 of the 9 games they played. Defensively, they have not been solid, as they conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. There is a tendency for goals to be scored in their away matches, as 9 of their last 10 games in this competition concluded with more than 1.5 goals. Out of 19 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 11 times and managed to overturn the score only once.

Atléticos is approaching this demanding away game stretch with seriousness and maturity. Away from home, the team understands that each point can make a difference in the Clausura journey. Their objective is clear: to stay in contention for the top positions in the table. Against a dangerous opponent, they need to maintain the highest level of focus. Mistakes are costly in such a competitive prediction. Their approach must be balanced, willing to endure when necessary. Pointing outside is the type of challenge that separates ambition from reality.

Best prediction for Necaxa vs Atléticos

Less than 3.5 goals

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