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Napoli vs Parma Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Napoli vs Parma

Here you will find the best prediction for Napoli vs Parma in Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head results and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Napoli and Parma.

Napoli logo
Napoli

  • January 14, 2026 – 17::30
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 16
Parma logo
Parma


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Napoli vs Parma

The best prediction for Napoli vs Parma in the Serie A is Napoli to score over 1.5 goals. The home team is supported by a passionate crowd and faces an opponent that is clearly a tier below in terms of individual quality. Therefore, it is expected that Napoli will confirm their favoritism and score multiple times during the match.

Best prediction for Napoli vs Parma

Napoli to score over 1.5 goals

Match prediction for Napoli vs Parma

The teams Napoli and Parma are set to clash at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in a duel of the 16th round of Serie A TIM. These teams have faced each other only twice recently: on May 18, 2025, ending in a goalless draw (0-0), and on August 31, 2024, when Napoli won 2-1. In this match, the home advantage could play a crucial role, as both teams show significant differences in performance when playing at home versus away.

Napoli Analysis

The home team approaches this match against Parma with a strong record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their league matches so far this season. They are a significantly stronger team at home, with their last 30 games showing 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses away compared to 11 wins and 4 draws at home. In the league, Napoli has earned 20 points from a possible 24, after 6 wins and 2 draws in their last 8 matches at home.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 8 home games. The most common halftime score at home is 1-0 (3 out of 8 matches). Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of their last 10 league games. There is a trend for goals in their home matches as 6 out of 8 ended with over 2.5 goals recorded. In 19 matches in this competition, they have managed only 1 comeback after conceding the first goal in the 7 games where this happened.

Napoli enters this match off a draw, at 2-2, in their trip to Inter’s stadium, marking the second straight game without a win in Serie A: both goals came from Scott McTominay. The home team typically plays in a 3-4-3 tactical system, emphasizing quick transitions, particularly along the flanks. In this setup, the three key players causing trouble for the opposing defense are Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang, and Eljif Elmas. When initiating offensive play, they prefer to channel attacks down the left side, utilizing the width provided by the fullback Miguel Gutiérrez. Missing from this match are Billy Gilmour, David Neres, Romelu Lukaku, Frank Anguissa, and Kevin De Bruyne, all due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Vanja Milinković-Savić, Miguel Gutiérrez, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Scott McTominay, Stanislav Lobotka, Eljif Elmas, Matteo Politano, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang.
Coach: A. Conte.

Parma Analysis

The visiting team will face Napoli in a postponed match from Round 16, after achieving 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses in their league matches thus far. Interestingly, this team has shown more favorable results away than at home, with their last 30 games recording 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, with a total of 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home, they have 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, scoring 12 goals and conceding 16 goals. In their last 9 league matches away, Parma has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, earning 12 points from 27 possible. The most frequent halftime score in away league matches is 0-0, occurring in 4 of their 10 games. Their defensive solidity has been a weak point, conceding goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, though their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of their last 10 league games. In 19 matches this season, they have had just 1 comeback in the 11 games where they conceded first. There is a notable trend in their last 19 matches away in all competitions: they conceded 9 of their 24 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Parma comes into this match after a victory, 2-1, against Lecce, ending a streak of two games without a win in Serie A: the goals for the team were scored by Mateo Pellegrino and Tiago Gabriel (own goal). The away team generally follows a 4-3-3 tactical system, focusing on quick transitions, especially along the flanks. In this setup, their front three are Jacob Ondrejka, Mateo Pellegrino, and Gaetano Oristanio. Notably, when going forward, they prefer to launch attacks down the left side, taking advantage of the width offered by fullback Emanuele Valeri. Missing for this match are Matija Frigan and Zion Suzuki, both due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Edoardo Corvi, Alessandro Circati, Emanuele Valeri, Enrico Delprato, Lautaro Valenti, Mandela Keita, Oliver Sørensen, Adrián Bernabé, Gaetano Oristanio, Mateo Pellegrino, Jacob Ondrejka.
Coach: G. Iachini.

Best prediction for Napoli vs Parma

Napoli to score over 1.5 goals


 

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