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Napoli vs Genoa Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Napoli vs Genoa

Here you find the best prediction for Napoli vs Genoa for Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Napoli and Genoa.

Napoli soon
Napoli

  • 11 May 2025 – 18::45
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2024/2025
  • NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 36
Genoa soon
Genoa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Napoli vs Genoa

The best prediction for Napoli vs Genoa in the Serie A is that Napoli will score more than 1.5 goals. With a more talented squad and playing in front of their passionate supporters, Napoli are the clear favourites and will look to prove this on the pitch. Notably, scoring at least two goals at home has become routine for them, happening in their last four matches. Therefore, it is anticipated that the home side will showcase their offensive prowess once again, potentially sealing another victory, possibly even without some key starters.

The best prediction for Napoli vs Genoa

Napoli to score more than 1.5 goals

Match preview: Napoli vs Genoa

Napoli and Genoa will meet at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona for a match in the 36th round of Serie A TIM. In their last encounter in this competition on 21 December 2024, Napoli emerged victorious, winning 2-1. Historical encounters at this venue favour the home team, with Napoli winning 2 and drawing 1 of their last 3 meetings here. However, in the most recent match at this ground in Serie A TIM on 17 February 2024, the match ended in a 1-1 draw, with goals coming from Cyril Ngonge for Napoli and Morten Frenddrup for Genoa.

Team analysis: Napoli

Currently sitting at the top of the table, Napoli has accumulated 77 points from 23 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses. In their penultimate match, they won against Torino at home (2-0), and in their last outing, they secured a narrow victory against Lecce (1-0). They have earned 23 points from a possible 30 in their last 10 home games, showcasing strong form.

At home, they have not lost in their last 9 matches in this competition, frequently displaying their attacking strength by scoring in 9 of those games. Out of 35 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times but managed to turn the result around in 4 instances. In their last 17 home fixtures, a notable pattern emerges: they conceded 4 of their 11 goals in the minutes leading up to half-time (31′-45′).

Napoli approached this match following a 1-0 victory away to Lecce, with the only goal scored by Giacomo Raspari. The home side typically employs a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on a structured and patient style of play. With Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku, and Giacomo Raspari leading the attack, the midfield trio of Billy Gilmour, Scott McTominay, and Frank Anguissa aims to support the forwards effectively. Unfortunately, they will be without Stanislav Lobotka, Alessandro Buongiorno, David Neres, and Juan Jesus due to injuries.

Team analysis: Genoa

Genoa finds themselves in 13th place with 39 points from 9 wins, 13 draws, and 13 losses. In their most recent match, they suffered a defeat at home to AC Milan (1-2), and prior to that, they lost away in a close contest (0-1). In the league, Genoa has garnered only 8 points from the last 30 available, with just 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away games.

They are currently on a 9-match winless streak away from home in the league. In their matches, 0-0 has been the most frequent half-time score, appearing in 8 of their 18 games. Defensive frailties have plagued them, as they conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Additionally, trends indicate low-scoring affairs in their games, with 12 of their last 17 matches concluding with less than 2.5 goals. Notably, in 35 competition matches, they have never managed to come back after conceding the first goal in 20 attempts.

Genoa will enter this match following an unmotivated performance against AC Milan, where their only goal was scored by Vitinha. The away side typically employs a 4-3-3 formation, favouring an attacking style of play. Andrea Pinamonti, Vitinha, and Brooke Norton-Cuffy are the primary forwards, while midfielder Junior Messias is crucial for driving the team’s offensive efforts. Morten Thorsby is suspended, alongside Mario Balotelli, Caleb Ekuban, Ruslan Malinoxkyi, Fabio Miretti, Jean Onana, and Hugo Cuenca, all struggling with physical issues.

The best prediction for Napoli vs Genoa

Napoli to score more than 1.5 goals

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