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Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Napoli vs Fiorentina

Here you will find the best prediction for Napoli vs Fiorentina in Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this Napoli vs Fiorentina match.

Napoli logo
Napoli

  • January 31, 2026 – 17::00
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 23
Fiorentina logo
Fiorentina


Best prediction for Napoli vs Fiorentina

Match prediction for Napoli vs Fiorentina

Statistical analysis:

The best prediction for
Palpite Napoli x Fiorentina – Série A in the Serie A is a Napoli win. The teams Napoli and Fiorentina are meeting at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona for a 23rd round match in Serie A TIM. In their last encounter in this competition on September 13, 2025, Napoli won away (1-3). Historically, matches at this stadium show a balance between the two teams, with 1 draw and 2 victories for each side in the last 5 games. However, the last time they met at this stadium was on March 9, 2025, where Napoli triumphed (2-1). The goals were scored by Giacomo Raspadori (60′) and Romelu Lukaku (26′) for Napoli, while Albert Guðmundsson (66′) scored for Fiorentina. Home advantage could play a significant role here, as Napoli has shown substantial discrepancies in their home and away performance.

Napoli Analysis

After achieving 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, the home team is currently in 3rd position with 43 points. They suffered a setback in their last match, losing away to Juventus (3-0), following a home win against Sassuolo (1-0) in their previous outing. Napoli is significantly stronger at home, recording 9 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 loss in 10 home games, with 24 goals scored and just 11 conceded. This contrasts with their away form, where they have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded. Their recent loss to Chelsea (2-3) in the UEFA Champions League adds to their motivation to perform well in this upcoming match.

Napoli has not lost any of their last 10 home games in this competition, and the most common halftime score they have led to this season is 1-0 (4 out of 10 games). Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of their last 10 league fixtures. Out of 22 league matches, they conceded the first goal 8 times, managing to turn around only once. Notably, they conceded 4 of the 8 goals scored against them at home between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Confirmed lineup: Alex Meret, Alessandro Buongiorno, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Juan Jesus, Leonardo Spinazzola, Miguel Gutiérrez, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Eljif Elmas, Antonio Vergara, Rasmus Højlund.
Manager: A. Conte.

Fiorentina Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 18th place, having earned 17 points after 3 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses. They secured a significant away victory against Bologna (1-2) in their penultimate match but were defeated at home by Cagliari (1-2) in their latest game. Fiorentina shows a lesser dependence on home advantage. Their recent form stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses in 30 games overall, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses at home, conceding 22 goals while scoring 20. They come into this match on the back of a home loss to Como (1-3). In the league, Fiorentina has only gained 7 points out of 30 in their last 10 away games with 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses. The most common halftime score for their away games has been 0-0 (7 out of 11 matches). While their defense has been shaky, conceding goals in 9 of their last 10 games, their attack has been relatively productive, scoring in 8 of the last 10 league matches. In their 22 league outings, they have conceded the first goal 11 times, without managing to overturn a deficit in any game.

Confirmed lineup: David de Gea, Dodô, Marin Pongracic, Robin Gosens, Pietro Comuzzo, Nicolò Fagioli, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Manor Solomon, Albert Gudmundsson, Roberto Piccoli.
Manager: R. Palladino.

Best prediction for Napoli vs Fiorentina

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