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Nacional vs Santa Clara Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Nacional vs Santa Clara

Here you will find the best prediction for Nacional vs Santa Clara in the Premier League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Nacional and Santa Clara.

Nacional logo
Nacional

  • January 11, 2026 – 15::30
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 16
Santa Clara logo
Santa Clara


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Nacional vs Santa Clara

The best prediction for Nacional vs Santa Clara in the Premier League is that both teams will score. Nacional has not been a very reliable team at home, suffering losses to Famalicão, Arouca, and Gil Vicente this season. However, it is rare for them not to find the back of the net, suggesting a game that will likely see goals, particularly since both teams have shown good scoring form in these encounters.

Best prediction for Nacional vs Santa Clara

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live bet suggestion, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier bet)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Nacional vs Santa Clara

The teams Nacional and Santa Clara will meet at the Madeira Stadium in a clash for Round 16 of the Premier League. The head-to-head record at this stadium shows a balance between the two sides, with 1 draw and 1 win for each in the last 3 encounters. However, the last match played here on November 4, 2024, ended with Nacional winning 2-0, with goals from Isaac (9′) and Rúben Macedo (13′). In this match, the home factor could be significant, as both teams display notable differences in results when playing at home versus away.

Nacional Analysis

The home team is facing Santa Clara in a delayed match from Round 16, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses in their league matches up to this point. Interestingly, they tend to perform better away, with their last 30 matches showing 4 victories, 5 draws, and 6 defeats on the road, scoring 16 goals and conceding 19, as opposed to 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses at home, where they scored 21 and allowed 29. In their last 7 home games, Nacional has achieved 2 victories and suffered 5 defeats, earning 6 points out of a possible 21. The most common scoreline at the end of the first 45 minutes in their home matches has been 0-0, occurring in 3 of their 7 games. The team has allowed goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, displaying a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. There’s a trend for goals in their home matches, with 13 out of 17 ending with over 2.5 goals. In 16 games this season, they conceded the first goal 9 times and managed only 2 comebacks.

Nacional has accumulated 16 points, just 2 above the relegation zone, shared with Arouca, the first team in danger of dropping. They do have a game in hand, and a victory would increase their lead to 5 points while climbing to the 13th position, potentially swapping places with Santa Clara. This squad under Tiago Margarido has experienced better days, only managing 1 win in the last 5 matches. Their latest defeat was against Vitória SC with a score of 2-1, a result that can be considered understandable given the strength of their opponent. However, in the previous game, they drew 2-2 against the last-placed AFS. They now host Santa Clara, a typically competitive team that could pose significant challenges to Nacional’s chances of victory.
 

Santa Clara Analysis

The visiting team is up against Nacional in a postponed match from Round 16, with a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses in their league matches so far. They have been affected by home advantage, performing better in front of their supporters, with their last 30 games producing 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses away, scoring a total of 12 goals and conceding 19. At home, they achieved 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 17 and allowing 12. In the league, Santa Clara has gained 5 points from a possible 21, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 7 away matches.

For this competition, they have not won any of their last 5 matches outside. The team has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition, showing weaknesses defensively. In 16 matches this season, they’ve never managed a comeback in the 8 games where they conceded first.

Santa Clara’s situation is quite similar to that of Nacional, with both teams tied on the standings with 16 points. Expectations are high for this team managed by Vasco Matos, especially considering their capability to compete against the top teams. True, they lost both encounters against Sporting, but those matches were lost very close to the end. It seems luck has not been on this Azorean side’s side. Santa Clara has maintained a well-organized squad that concedes few goals, even as visitors. Still, 3 of the last encounters between Nacional and Santa Clara in Madeira ended with goals from both teams.
 

Best prediction for Nacional vs Santa Clara

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live bet suggestion, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier bet)

Will both teams score? Yes

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