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Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Nacional vs Rio Ave

Here you will find the best prediction for Nacional vs Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Nacional vs Rio Ave.

Nacional logo
Nacional

  • January 25, 2026 – 15::30
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Rio Ave logo
Rio Ave


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Nacional vs Rio Ave

The best prediction for Nacional vs Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga is that both teams will score. If weather conditions allow, this match is likely to see multiple goals. Nacional, playing at home, is aggressive in search for three points and typically finds the net. Meanwhile, Rio Ave’s attack has shown quality, managing to score in most of their recent away games, with the exception being against Sporting. Therefore, the option for “both teams to score” is an appealing choice given the odds provided.

Best prediction for Nacional vs Rio Ave

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier tip)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Nacional vs Rio Ave

The teams Nacional and Rio Ave play at Estádio da Madeira in a match of the 19th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last meeting in this competition on August 17, 2025, the final result was a draw (1-1). The direct encounters at this stadium indicate balance, with each team having one victory and one draw in their last three meetings. The last time they faced off here, on May 10, 2025, they drew (3-3). Goals in that match came from K. Kostoulas (90′ own goal), André Sousa (46′), and Léo Santos (90′) for Nacional, while T. Bakoulas (28′) and E. Tıknaz (3′ and 43′) scored for Rio Ave. Attention is needed for home/away performance; both teams show significantly different results when playing at home versus away.

Analysis of Nacional

After 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, the home team is in 13th place, having gathered 17 points. In their last match, they lost to Gil Vicente away (2-1), following a home draw against Santa Clara (3-3). Interestingly, this team has had better results away than at home, with 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding 20, compared to 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses at home, scoring 23 and conceding 30. In the league, Nacional has earned 7 points out of 24 available, after 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last 8 home games. The most frequent result at halftime in their home matches has been 0-0, occurring in 3 of 8 games. Defensive solidity has not been a strong point, as they have conceded at least one goal in their last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, netting goals in 8 of their last 10 league games. At home, there is a tendency for goals as well, with 6 out of 8 games ending with over 2.5 goals. In 18 matches this season, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and managed just 2 comebacks.

Nacional is winless in their last 4 matches. The Madeira side has 17 points and a 2-point buffer above Casa Pia, the first team in the relegation zone. At home, Nacional drew with Santa Clara but had previously beaten Tondela. These have been lively matches, with 80% of their last 5 games at Choupana featuring goals from both teams, and more than 2.5 total goals. This is an encouraging sign for their meeting with Rio Ave.
 

Analysis of Rio Ave

After 4 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, the away team is in 11th place with 20 points. In their last match, they lost to Benfica at home (0-2), following a home win against Casa Pia (3-1). Interestingly, Rio Ave has fared better away than at home too, registering 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses from their last 30 away matches, scoring a total of 19 goals and conceding 31. At home, they have achieved 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 17 and conceding 24. Their last away match in this competition ended in a heavy loss (4-0) to Sporting CP. In their last 9 away league matches, Rio Ave has 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, earning 11 points from 27 available. Defensive stability has not been their strength; they have conceded at least one goal in every one of their last 10 league matches. Their away games often feature goals, with 8 of their last 9 league matches ending with over 1.5 goals. In 18 league games, they managed only 1 comeback in the 10 matches where they conceded first. Of their last 19 away matches across all competitions, a notable pattern emerged: they scored 8 of their 22 goals between the 76th and the 90th minutes.

The Rio Ave team lost at home against Benfica in their last match. It was a game where the team had no chances, following an impressive first half by the opposition. Rio Ave is eager to perform much better in the second half of the season. Although they haven’t started strong, it was more due to Benfica’s merit. However, against Nacional, they need to confirm their ambition, and dropping points in such a traditionally difficult venue would be a significant setback in their campaign to climb the table.

Best prediction for Nacional vs Rio Ave

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier tip)

Will both teams score? Yes

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