👉 What is the recommended bet for Nacional vs Progresso?

The prediction and suggested bet for Nacional vs Progresso on 23 May 2025, based on the analysis, is: Nacional to win at half-time.

👉 Where will Nacional vs Progresso be played?

Nacional vs Progresso on 23 May 2025 will be held at Gran Parque Central Stadium in Montevideo.

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Nacional vs Progreso Prediction – Primera Division” → “Nacional vs Progreso Prediction – First Division

May 22, 2025[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Nacional vs Progresso

Here you will find the best prediction for Nacional vs Progresso for the Primera División, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Nacional and Progresso.

Nacional

23 May 2025 – 23::30
Primera División
2025
Intermediate Round – Group 2

Progresso

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Nacional vs Progresso

The best prediction for Nacional vs Progresso in the Primera División is a victory for Nacional. The home team typically controls the match when playing in their own stadium, while Progresso is likely to adopt a more defensive strategy, relying on quick counter-attacks. This pressure could prove overwhelming for them. Considering the consistency and technical superiority of Nacional, betting on them to lead by the interval seems a sound strategy.

The best prediction for Nacional vs Progresso

Nacional to win at half-time

Match preview: Nacional vs Progresso

Nacional and Progresso meet at Gran Parque Central Stadium in a match for the Primera División. Historical encounters at this venue suggest a balanced rivalry, with each team having secured 1 victory and 1 draw in their last 3 meetings. Their most recent clash at this stadium on 23-03-2024 ended in a 0-0 stalemate. Notably, both teams perform significantly differently at home and away, which amplifies the importance of home advantage in this matchup.

Team analysis: Nacional

The home side secured their place in this decisive phase of the Primera División (Intermediate Round) after finishing 7th in the previous phase, where they ended with 0 points. Interestingly, Nacional has recorded better results away than at home, notching up 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors, scoring 34 goals and conceding 16. In contrast, their home record shows 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. So far in the championship, they have accrued 15 points from 24 possible, achieving 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 8 home games.

They have managed to win 4 consecutive matches at home recently. In their home games, the most frequent half-time scoreline has been 0-0 (3 in 8 matches). Their attack has been consistent, scoring at least once in the last 10 matches in this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home games, with 8 of their last 8 matches having finished with over 1.5 goals. Of the 15 games in this competition, they managed to overturn the score in 2 out of the 6 instances when they conceded the first goal. Notably, in their last 7 home matches across all competitions, they scored 5 of their 11 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

While they did not lead the Apertura table, Nacional enters this intermediate phase in high spirits. Their performance was only eclipsed by Liverpool, which highlights their significant commitment level. As they maintain a distinctive playing style characterised by strong possession, they approach this first challenge with a genuine chance of overcoming Progresso.

Team analysis: Progresso

The visiting team gained access to this critical phase of the Primera División (Intermediate Round), having secured the 1st position in the previous phase but ending that segment with 0 points. Curiously, Progresso has displayed better results away than at home, recording 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring a total of 13 goals while conceding 23. At home, they managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, along with a total of 13 goals scored and 28 goals conceded. In their last 7 championship matches, Progresso has accumulated 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, earning 10 points from a possible 21.

They remain unbeaten in their last 6 away matches in this competition. Their away games show certain consistent results: 0-0 at half-time (3 in 7 matches) and a final score of 1-1 (3 in 7 matches). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. Nonetheless, their attack has been reliable, scoring in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. Of the 15 games, they conceded the first goal 9 times and have only managed to recover once.

Progresso’s campaign has been marked by inconsistencies in the first phase of Apertura. The team struggled to maintain a position near the top of the table and now understands the necessity for a different approach in the intermediate rounds. In this matchup, adopting a reactive strategy may be key to increasing their chances against a motivated Nacional riding high on a recent winning streak.