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Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães Prediction – Primeira Liga
Check out the best predictions for Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães
Here you will find the most informed prediction for Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães for the Primeira Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including their recent form and key statistics from previous matches, to offer the best prediction for this encounter between Moreirense and Vitória de Guimarães.
 Moreirense |
|  Vitória de Guimarães |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães
The best prediction for Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães in the Primeira Liga is Vitória SC to win with less than 3.5 goals. Although C. Bacci has managed to steady Moreirense and halt their losing streak, there’s still substantial work to bring them back to the competitive level they had earlier in the season. On the other hand, Vitória SC appears to be self-assured and unlikely to drop points in this fixture. Additionally, given recent trends, this match is expected to produce a limited number of goals, making the combination of a Vitória SC victory along with under 3.5 goals the most sensible betting strategy for this encounter.
The best prediction for Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães
Vitória SC wins or a double chance and less than 3.5 goals
Match preview: Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães
Moreirense and Vitória de Guimarães face off at the Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Sports Park in the 27th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last encounter in this competition on 03 November 2024, Vitória SC emerged victorious with a score of 1-0 at home. The historical results at this venue slightly favour the home side, having won 2 of the last 4 encounters, while drawing once and losing once. Notably, in the last meeting at this venue for the Primeira Liga on 05 November 2023, Moreirense won 1-0 courtesy of a goal from André Luis (76′). It’s important to consider home and away performances; whilst Moreirense currently sits 10th and Vitória is in 6th place overall, this matchup highlights Moreirense’s superior home record compared to Vitória’s away form.
Team analysis: Moreirense
After accumulating 8 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, Moreirense currently stands in 10th position with 31 points. They recently secured a 1-0 victory over Boavista at home, following a draw against Santa Clara (1-1) in their previous match. Moreirense performs significantly better at home, having garnered 23 points compared to just 8 away. Over their last 10 home games in the league, Moreirense has registered 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, acquiring 18 points from a possible 30. The most common result at half-time at their ground has been 0-0, occurring in 5 of their 13 matches. While their defence has struggled, conceding goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, their attack remains relatively consistent, having scored in 7 of those fixtures. In the league, they’ve managed to overturn the score in only 3 instances from the 14 matches where they conceded first.
Since the arrival of C. Bacci, Moreirense has shown significant improvement, managing to stop their run of defeats. They drew against a top side at home (1-1), replicated that result away to Santa Clara, and then secured a 1-0 win over Boavista. C. Bacci’s strategy seems focused on tightening up the defence, leading to a more cautious approach from Moreirense, who are now scoring fewer goals but, importantly, conceding less as well. Thus, for this match against Vitória SC, Moreirense is likely to present a well-organised and disciplined performance, cautiously looking for a victory while managing their classification position comfortably.
Team analysis: Vitória de Guimarães
The visiting team currently occupies 6th place with 41 points, after 10 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses. Their previous match resulted in a 2-1 away victory over Boavista, followed by a 2-0 win at home against the amateur side. This team relies heavily on home advantage, having acquired 26 points at home with 23 goals scored and 14 goals conceded, compared to just 15 away from home with 13 goals scored and 13 against. In the last 10 away matches, Vitória de Guimarães has managed only one win, drawing 6 times and losing 3, amassing 9 points from 30 available. It’s notable that their games often end with fewer goals, as demonstrated by 9 of their last 13 matches finishing with less than 2.5 goals. In the 26 league matches, they’ve only managed to come back to win once after falling behind first. Among their away matches, there are patterns to consider: they scored 6 of their 12 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes, hence showing a tendency to start the second half strongly, but also conceded 5 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.
In response to their elimination from the League Conference, the Vitória SC team has recovered commendably, securing a 2-0 victory against the same side that knocked them out. This revitalised performance reflects positively under the management of Luís Freire, who has guided them through a challenging period. Despite their recent struggles, the team seems poised to take on Moreirense, expecting a tough encounter against the home side. Notably, however, they have won only 1 of their last 5 games on the road, which casts a shadow on their confidence heading into this match.
The best prediction for Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães
Vitória SC wins or a double chance and less than 3.5 goals
