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Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for Monterrey vs Toluca

Here you find the best prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca for the MX League, along with match analysis and betting advice.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to deliver the best prediction for the match between Monterrey and Toluca.

Monterrey soon
Monterrey

  • 2nd match scheduled for: 10 May 2025

  • 07 May 2025 – 01::00
  • MX

  • 2024/2025

  • Clausura – Wednesdays – 1st Game

Toluca soon
Toluca


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Monterrey and Toluca

The best prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca in the MX League is fewer than 3.5 goals. Given the knockout nature of the matchup and both teams’ emphasis on tactical organisation, we can expect a closely contested match with limited space and moderate intensity. Therefore, this is the best bet for the encounter.

The best prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca

Fewer than 3.5 goals

Match preview: Monterrey vs Toluca

Monterrey and Toluca face off in an MX League match (quarter-finals). According to our data, there are no recent matches between the two teams. It’s crucial to analyse the home and away performance, as Monterrey tends to perform differently at home compared to away fixtures.

Team analysis: Monterrey

Monterrey is stronger when playing at home, having recorded 1 loss as a visitor and 1 victory at home in their last two matches. They come into this match after a defeat away to America (2-1).

As they begin the quarter-finals of the MX League at home, Monterrey understands the importance of a positive result in the first match. The team typically adopts a more conservative approach when playing on their own turf, focusing on defensive organisation while aiming for goals in a patient manner. Their tactical system prioritises ball possession and minimises the opponent’s spaces, avoiding overexposure in critical moments.

Team analysis: Toluca

Toluca has progressed to this decisive stage of the MX League (Clausura – Wednesday) after finishing in 1st place in the previous phase, amassing a total of 37 points. This team is not significantly affected by home advantage, recording similar outcomes at home and away. In their last 30 games, they have 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, scoring 28 goals and conceding 21. At home, they have secured 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 41 goals for and 15 against. In their last 10 championship matches, Toluca has achieved 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, earning 17 points out of a possible 30. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 36 games, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only managed one comeback.

In this match, Toluca will likely adopt a more cautious strategy, mindful of the challenges posed by a strong opponent away from home. Their approach is usually compact, with closely aligned defensive lines and a significant focus on marking. They tend to be reactive, aiming to exploit a few quick counterattacks and create surprises while maintaining defensive solidity.

The best prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca

Fewer than 3.5 goals

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