Monaco vs Marseille Prediction – Ligue 1
Check out the best predictions for Monaco vs Marseille
Here you will find the best prediction for Monaco vs Marseille in Ligue 1, alongside match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our comprehensive analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their latest fixtures to provide the best prediction for this match between Monaco vs Marseille.
![]() Monaco |
| ![]() Marseille |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Monaco vs Marseille
Monaco vs Marseille in Ligue 1 is over 2.5 goals. This match is expected to feature numerous goal-scoring chances. While Monaco’s tactical control is anticipated, their defence has shown vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Olympique Marseille. Notably, the “over 2.5 goals” market has prevailed in 71% of Marseille’s away fixtures. Therefore, we foresee a dynamic encounter, with both sides creating ample opportunities to find the net.
The best prediction for Monaco vs Marseille
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or treble bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)
Match preview: Monaco vs Marseille
Monaco and Marseille meet at Stade Louis II for the 29th round of Ligue 1. The last encounter in this edition saw Olympique Marseille claim victory (2-1) at home on 1 December 2024. The head-to-head record at this venue indicates a balance, with both teams winning twice in the last four match-ups. However, their most recent clash at this stadium on 30 September 2023 ended in a 3-2 victory for Monaco. Goals in that match were scored by Maghnes Akliouche (8′ and 52′) and Folarin Balogun (23′) for Monaco, while Iliman Ndiaye (1′) and Samuel Gigot (18′) found the net for Marseille. The home advantage could play a crucial role, especially given the significant differences in performance when at home versus away for both teams.
Team analysis: Monaco
The home side currently sits in 3rd place with 50 points from 15 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a home win against Nice (2-1) but suffered a defeat at Brest (2-1) in their latest fixture. Monaco tends to perform significantly better on home turf, with a record of 10 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 15 home games. In the championship, they have garnered 22 points from a possible 30, winning 7 out of their last 10 home matches.
In this competition, they’ve recorded five consecutive home victories. Although their defensive solidity has been under scrutiny, having conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches, their attack remains potent, scoring at least one goal in each of their last 10 league games. In total, they have managed to overturn the deficit in 4 of the 10 matches where they conceded first. Monaco’s last outing ended in a 2-1 loss at Stade Brestois, with their only goal scored by Denis Zakaria. Typically, the team employs a 4-4-2 formation, aiming for a more controlled style of play that funnels attacks through the centre. The attacking duo will likely consist of Mika Biereth and Breel Embolo, while Takumi Minamino orchestrates their play. Notably, Breel Embolo is suspended, alongside Jordan Tueze, Soungoutou Magassa, and Kassoum Ouattara, who are dealing with injuries.
Team analysis: Marseille
The away team is currently in 2nd place with 52 points, having achieved 16 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses. Their previous match saw them lose to Reims (3-1), followed by a home win against Toulouse (3-2). Interestingly, Marseille has shown stronger performance away, with a record of 10 wins and 5 losses as visitors in their last 30 games, compared to 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses at home. Over the last 10 league matches, Marseille has recorded 6 wins and 4 losses, accumulating 18 out of 30 possible points. Despite having conceded in 8 of their last 10 games, their attack has maintained a consistent scoring record, finding the net in 7 of their last 10 fixtures. When playing away in this competition, there has been a tendency for goals, with 10 out of 14 matches featuring over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, they have managed to turn around the score in 4 of the 12 matches where they conceded first.
Olympique Marseille comes into this clash boosted by a spirited 3-2 victory over Toulouse, with goals from Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, and a Gabriel Suazo own goal. The team commonly adopts a 3-4-3 formation, focusing on pace and continuous transition play. Neal Mápay, Mason Greenwood, and Adrien Rabiot are expected to pose threats in the opposition’s area. When attacking, they typically exploit the left corridor, taking advantage of the depth provided by Quentin Merlin. All players are available for selection in this match.
The best prediction for Monaco vs Marseille
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or treble bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)