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Monaco vs Lorient Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Monaco vs Lorient

Here you will find the best prediction for Monaco vs Lorient in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from recent matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Monaco and Lorient.

Monaco logo
Monaco

  • January 16, 2026 – 18::00
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Matchday 18
Lorient logo
Lorient


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Monaco vs Lorient

The best prediction for Monaco vs Lorient in Ligue 1 is a win for Monaco. The home team, having a higher quality squad, is favored for this game and will likely demonstrate that favoritism, bringing joy to their supporters. It is noteworthy that the visitors have lost five of the eight matches played away from home. Thus, it is expected that Monaco will clinch the three points in this matchup.

Best prediction for Monaco vs Lorient

Monaco to win

Match prediction for Monaco vs Lorient

The teams Monaco and Lorient play at Stade Louis II., in a match for Matchday 18 of Ligue 1. It was Lorient who won at home 3-1 the last time they faced each other in this season of the league on September 27, 2025. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, who in the last 4 matches have recorded 1 win and 3 draws. However, in the last match at this stadium in Ligue 1 on March 17, 2024, the game ended in a 2-2 draw. The goals were scored by Youssouf Fofana (60′) and Formose Mendy (27′ own goal) for Monaco, and Wilfried Singo (1′ own goal) and Tiemoué Bakayoko (90′) for Lorient. Special attention is required to the home/away condition, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Monaco Analysis

The home team is currently in 9th place, with 23 points earned through 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost away to Olympique Marseille 1-0. In their last match, they lost at home to Olympique Lyonnais 3-1. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when playing in front of their supporters, as they have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 21 goals and conceding 29, compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded. They come into this match after a victory away against Orléans 3-1. In the league, Monaco has earned 16 points out of a possible 27, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 9 home games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, netting in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their home matches in the league, there is a tendency for goals since 6 out of 9 have finished with more than 2.5 goals. In 17 league matches, they have only managed to turn around 1 scoreline in the 10 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Monaco arrives at this match motivated after a victory of 1-3 against Orléans in a match valid for the Coupe de France. In their last Ligue 1 match, they lost at home to Lyon 1-3. Coach Marco Silva is expected to maintain his usual tactical setup of 3-4-3, which allows him to exploit quick transitions and the spaces left by the opponent. In attack, Maghnes Akliouche, Paris Brunner, and Mika Biereth will be responsible for posing threats, aiming to disrupt the opposing defense. The right flank is often the main avenue for progression, with full-back Vanderson being a key player due to his ability to surge and push forward offensively. In this game, Mamadou Coulibaly and Stanis Idumbo Muzambo are suspended, along with Krépin Diatta, Lamine Camara, Lukáš Hrádecký, Christian Mawissa, and Takumi Minamino, all injured.

Lorient Analysis

After 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, the visiting team is in 12th position, having garnered 19 points. In their last match, they drew 1-1 at home against Metz, after previously also drawing on the road against Strasbourg, 0-0. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as they have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring a total of 16 goals and conceding 20. Meanwhile, at home, they earned 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, netting a total of 39 goals while conceding 18. They come into this match after a victory away against Hauts Lyonnais 3-1. In the league, Lorient has earned 3 points out of a possible 24, with 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 8 away games.

For this competition, they have not won any of their last 8 away games. Defensive solidity has not been their asset, conceding goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, yet their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches for this competition, there is a tendency for few goals since 6 of the last 8 they played had fewer than 3 goals. In 17 games in this league, they conceded the first goal 9 times and managed to turn the score around only once. There is 1 highlighted period in the last 12 matches played away across all competitions: they scored 4 of their 11 goals between the minutes 31’ and 45’.

Lorient arrives at this match after a triumph, 1-3, in their trip to the Hauts Lyonnais stadium, in a match valid for the Coupe de France. In their last match in Ligue 1, the visitors drew 1-1 against Metz. The visiting team is expected to line up in their usual 3-4-3 formation, a system that favors quick transitions and attacks down the flanks, particularly on the right side. It is precisely through this flank that the biggest imbalances often arise, thanks to the offensive depth of Joel Mugisha Mvuka, a full-back who does not hesitate to venture forward and support the attack. Up front, Pablo Pagis, Sambou Soumano, and Jean-Victor Makengo form a dangerous trio capable of exploiting the gaps in the opposing defense with quick movements and constant position changes. Notably, Panos Katseris, Aiyegun Tosin, and Darlin Yongwa will miss this match due to physical issues.

Best prediction for Monaco vs Lorient

Monaco to win

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