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Milan vs Genoa Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Milan vs Genoa

Here you will find the best prediction for Milan vs Genoa in Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Milan vs Genoa.

Milan logo
Milan

  • January 8, 2026 – 19::45
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Genoa logo
Genoa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Milan vs Genoa

The best prediction for Milan vs Genoa in the Serie A is over 2.0 Asian goals. It is anticipated that the match will have a slight tendency towards the home team; however, Genoa can also be confident as they have managed to score some goals in their recent matches. Moreover, it is noteworthy that the “Over 2 Goals” market has been successful in 88% of Genoa’s away matches.

Best prediction for Milan vs Genoa

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

Match prediction for Milan vs Genoa

The teams Milan and Genoa will meet at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for a match in the 19th round of Serie A TIM. In this stadium, the head-to-head history favors the home team, which has achieved 2 victories and 3 draws in the last 5 encounters. However, the last meeting at this stadium was on December 15, 2024, in a Serie A TIM match that ended in a draw (0-0). In this match, the home factor may play an important role, as Genoa shows significant differences in their results at home and as visitors.

Analysis of Milan

The home team currently sits at 1st place, with 38 points from 11 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss. In their penultimate match, they won at home against Hellas Verona (3-0). In their last match, they won away against Cagliari (0-1). This is a team that maintains strong performance when playing away, as they have recorded 7 victories, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their last 30 matches as visitors against 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses at home. In the championship, Milan has secured 20 points out of 27 possible, with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 9 games played at home.

In this competition, they are unbeaten in the last 16 matches. Their attack has scored regularly, netting at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their home games in this competition, there tends to be a pattern of goals, as 6 out of 9 ended with over 2.5 goals. In 17 matches in this competition, they managed to turn around the score in 2 out of the 4 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Milan comes into this match with a victory of 0-1 from their away match at Cagliari, marking their fourth triumph in the last five matches in Serie A: the only goal of the team was scored by Rafael León. The home side will likely stick to their usual tactical system of 3-5-2, focusing on quick transitions and taking advantage of the space on the flanks. Rafael León and Christian Pulišić are the forward duo responsible for creating imbalances in the attack. When advancing, the team tends to primarily explore the right wing, benefiting from the runs of full-back Alexis Saelemaekers. Santiago Giménez is unavailable for this match due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Mike Maignan, Pervis Estupiñán, Davide Bartesaghi, Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Adrien Rabiot, Youssouf Fofana, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Luka Modrić, Rafael León.
Coach: M. Allegri.

Analysis of Genoa

After 3 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, the visiting team is in 17th place, having secured 15 points. In their last match, they drew with Pisa at home (1-1), following a previous away loss against Roma (3-1). Curiously, this team performs better away from home than at home, as they have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring a total of 18 goals and conceding 25. At home, they have achieved 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a total of 15 goals scored and 21 conceded. In their last 8 away matches in the league, Genoa has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, earning 8 points out of a possible 24. There are some common results in the matches they played as visitors: at the end of the first 45 minutes, 0-1 (4 out of 10 matches) and at the end of the game 2-1 (3 out of 10 matches). The team has not been very strong defensively, conceding goals in the last 10 matches, but their attack has scored consistently, managing to find the net in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their away matches, there is a trend for goals, as 7 of their last 8 matches in the league ended with over 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 8 times and only managed one comeback.

Genoa comes into this match having drawn 1-1 against Pisa, marking their fourth consecutive match without a win in Serie A: the team’s only goal was scored by Lorenzo Colón. The visiting team will likely maintain their usual tactical setup of 3-5-2, focusing on a more deliberate style of play with well-defined transitions. Vitinha and Lorenzo Colón will take the lead in the advanced sector, being primarily responsible for energizing the attack. When going forward, the team tends to explore the left flank, utilizing the runs of full-back Aarón Martín. Junior Messias, Maxwell Cornet, and Benjamin Siegrist are all unavailable for this game due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Nicola Leali, Sebastian Otoa, Johan Vásquez, Aarón Martín, Leo Østigård, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Morten Frendrup, Ruslan Malinoxkyi, Morten Thorsby, Vitinha, Lorenzo Colón.
Coach: P. Vieira.

Best prediction for Milan vs Genoa

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier suggestion)

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