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Metz vs Lyon Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Metz x Lyon

Here you can find the best prediction for Metz x Lyon in Ligue 1, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from the last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Metz x Lyon.

Metz logo
Metz

  • January 25, 2026 – 16::15
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Lyon logo
Lyon


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Metz x Lyon

The best prediction for Metz x Lyon in the Ligue 1 is over 2.5 goals. It is expected to be a balanced match, but both teams tend to provide open games, with goal-scoring opportunities occurring naturally. Additionally, the “Over 2.5 Goals” market has been successful in four out of the last five official Lyon matches. Therefore, a competitive game with several chances for both teams is anticipated.

Best prediction for Metz x Lyon

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for Metz x Lyon

The teams Metz and Lyon are set to play at Stade Saint‑Symphorien for the 19th round of Ligue 1. It was Olympique Lyonnais who won at home (3-0) the last time these teams faced each other in this league edition on August 23, 2025. The recent head-to-head record favors the visiting team, which has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. In this match, the home advantage could play a significant role as Lyon has shown significant discrepancies in their home and away results.

Metz Analysis

The home team is currently in 18th place, with 12 points from 3 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew away to Lorient (1-1). In their last match, they lost away to Strasbourg (2-1). This team is not significantly affected by playing at home, showing similar results at home and away, with the last 30 matches yielding 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses as visitors, scoring 24 goals and conceding 36, compared to 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses at home, scoring 21 goals and conceding 22. In their last 8 home league games, Metz has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, achieving 8 points from 24 possible. The most common result in the first half of home matches has been 0-0, which occurred in 4 out of their 8 games. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 8 of the last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, although their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of their last 10 games in this competition. In 18 matches in this league, they have managed just 1 comeback in the 11 matches where they conceded the first goal. In the last 17 home matches across all competitions, they have notable moments: scoring 10 of their 24 goals between minutes 76′ and 90′.

Metz enters this encounter coming off a 2-1 defeat on the trip to Strasbourg, marking the sixth consecutive match without a victory in Ligue 1: the only goal for the team was scored by Gauthier Hein. The home club tends to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Georgiy Tsitaishvili, Ibou Sane, and Malick Mbaye taking on the main offensive roles. It is worth noting that midfielder Gauthier Hein is responsible for organizing the attacking play. When contributing offensively, he usually does so down the left flank, utilizing the depth provided by full-back Fodé Ballo-Touré. All players are available for this game.

Confirmed lineup: Jonathan Fischer, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Fodé Ballo-Touré, Maxime Colin, Sadibou Sané, Terry Yegbe, Jessy Deminguet, Gauthier Hein, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Ibou Sané, Malick Mbaye.
Coach: F. Antonetti.

Lyon Analysis

After 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, the visiting team sits in 4th position with 33 points. In their last match, they won against Brest at home (2-1), following a previous away victory against Monaco (3-1). The team is stronger when playing at home, as evidenced by their last 30 matches, which showcase 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, compared to 12 wins and 3 losses at home. In their most recent match in the Europa League, they defeated Young Boys away (1-0). In the last 9 away league matches, Lyon has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, earning 12 points from 27 possible. At halftime in their away league games, the most common result has been 0-1 (4 out of 9 matches). Their attack has been reliable, scoring in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Away from home, there is a trend for few goals, as 5 of their last 9 league matches ended with fewer than 1.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they have come back from behind only once in the 4 games where they conceded the first goal.

Olympique Lyon enters the pitch following a 1-0 triumph in their trip to the Young Boys’ stadium in a Europa League match. In the last match of Ligue 1, the visitors won against Stade Brest 2-1. The away team typically lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Afonso Moreira, Endrick, and Pavel Šulc assuming the key offensive roles. Notably, midfielder Corentin Tolisso is responsible for orchestrating the attack. When they push forward, they generally exploit the right flank, utilizing the depth provided by full-back Ainsley Maitland-Niles. Missing from this game are Ernest Nuamah, Malick Fofana, and Moussa Niakhaté, all sidelined due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Dominik Greif, Nicolás Tagliafico, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Clinton Mata, Ruben Kluivert, Noah Nartey, Pavel Sulc, Tanner Tessmann, Tyler Morton, Endrick, Afonso Moreira.
Coach: P. Rodrigues Fonseca.

Best prediction for Metz x Lyon

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier bet)

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