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Melbourne City vs Newcastle Prediction – A-League
Check out the best predictions for Melbourne City vs Newcastle
Here you will find the most accurate prediction for Melbourne City vs Newcastle from the A-League, along with match analysis and betting advice.
Read our detailed analysis of both teams below, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between Melbourne City and Newcastle.
 Melbourne City |  Newcastle |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Melbourne City vs Newcastle
The best prediction for Melbourne City vs Newcastle in the A-League is less than 3.5 goals. Melbourne City is expected to maintain their impressive defensive consistency. Given that Newcastle Jets are improving, Melbourne City should proceed with the necessary caution, leading to a match where they aim to secure a clean sheet. Therefore, the prediction is that there will be less than 3.5 goals in this match, allowing for potential results such as 1-0, 2-0, or even 2-1.
Match preview: Melbourne City vs Newcastle
Melbourne City and Newcastle face each other at Aami Park in a match for the 14th round of the A-League. The last time these teams met in this league edition, Melbourne City came away with a 1-0 victory on 19-02-2024. In their previous encounters at this venue, the home side has a favourable record, winning twice and drawing twice in their last four matches. However, the latest showdown at Aami Park, which occurred on 30-03-2024, ended in a stalemate (0-0). The home advantage might play a crucial role here, as Newcastle has shown varying performances when playing at home and away.
Team analysis: Melbourne City
The home side is playing a rescheduled match for the 14th round against Newcastle, having achieved 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in their league matches thus far. This team has maintained its form even when away, recording 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses over the last 30 matches on the road, in contrast to their impressive record at home of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. In their last 8 home league games, Melbourne City has gathered 16 points from a possible 24, winning 5, drawing 1, and losing 2.
Recently, they have won their last 5 home matches in this competition and remain undefeated in the last 6 games at Aami Park. Common scorelines in their home games include 1-0 at half-time (5 out of 8 matches) and 2-0 at full time (3 out of 8 matches). Their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of their last 10 league fixtures. Trends indicate fewer goals in their recent home matches, with 6 of the last 8 yielding less than 3 goals. In 19 league games, they have failed to come back after conceding first in all 5 instances.
Melbourne City would ideally have a comfortable match in this 14th round against Newcastle Jets, but the visitors have emerged as one of the stronger teams in the recent rounds of the A-League, creating considerable anticipation for this match. Furthermore, Melbourne City is in solid form, with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 4 outings. In their previous match, they hosted MacArthur and yet again, kept a clean sheet. Remarkably, Melbourne City has ended 6 consecutive games without conceding. While the odds favour the home team, caution will be essential when facing Newcastle Jets.
Team analysis: Newcastle
The away team will contest the rescheduled 14th round match against Melbourne City, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses in their league campaign thus far. Surprisingly, they have garnered more positive results on the road than at home, with 30 matches yielding 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses as visitors, scoring 22 goals and conceding 20. Conversely, they recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses at home, totalling 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. Their last away fixture in the league resulted in a 1-2 victory against Adelaide United. Over their last 9 fixtures outside of home, Newcastle secured 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, amassing 13 points from 27 available. While defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, their attack has been consistent, scoring in every one of their last 10 league games. In 18 league fixtures, they managed to turn around the scoreline only once in 8 matches where they conceded first. Notably, they scored 6 of their 14 goals in the last 10 matches played away from home during the period between the 46th and 60th minutes.
The Newcastle Jets are on the rise, as evidenced by their recent results. Not too long ago, they struggled to secure victories, but they have now achieved 3 wins in their last 5 encounters, alongside 2 draws. Their most recent draw against league leaders Auckland is particularly noteworthy. Their form as visitors has notably improved, culminating in a recent win at Adelaide United’s ground. This offensive improvement poses a potential challenge for Melbourne City’s solid defence, contributing to the high expectations surrounding this matchup.
The best prediction for Melbourne City vs Newcastle
Less than 3.5 goals
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