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Melbourne City vs Brisbane Prediction – A-League
Check out the best predictions for Melbourne City vs Brisbane
Here you will find the best prediction for Melbourne City vs Brisbane in the A-League, accompanied by match analysis and betting tips.
Below, we provide a thorough analysis of both teams, reviewing their recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to offer the best prediction for the fixture between Melbourne City and Brisbane.
 Melbourne City |  Brisbane |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Melbourne City vs Brisbane
The best prediction for Melbourne City vs Brisbane in the A-League is Melbourne City to win or a double chance with less than 3.5 goals. Melbourne City has been solid defensively, notably in their last seven home matches, where they conceded only one goal. In six of those games, they managed to keep a clean sheet. Considering this strong defensive record and their overall superior performance, looking at the market for “both teams not to score” or Melbourne City to win (double chance) alongside the less than 3.5 goals market appears to be a prudent betting strategy, especially as all of their last seven home matches featured fewer than 2.5 goals.
Match preview: Melbourne City vs Brisbane
Melbourne City faces Brisbane at Aami Park in a fixture for the 26th round of the A-League. The last time these teams met, Melbourne City triumphed at home with a score of 1-0 in this league edition on 11-01-2025. Historically, matches at this venue have favoured the home side, with Melbourne City winning all five of the most recent encounters here. In their latest match at this stadium for the A-League on 11-01-2025, Melbourne City secured a narrow 1-0 victory, courtesy of a goal from Benjamin Mazzeo (65′). The home advantage may play a critical role in this match, particularly given the marked disparity in performance between Brisbane’s home matches and their form as visitors.
Team analysis: Melbourne City
Currently, the home team is placed third in the league table, accumulating 40 points through 12 victories, 4 draws, and 6 defeats. In their second-to-last match, they won away against Sydney, 2-3. Most recently, they claimed a home victory against Central Coast Mariners (1-0). This team generally shows little difference in performance whether playing home or away. Over their last 30 matches, they recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, scoring 26 goals and conceding 18. At home, they have achieved 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, netting 29 goals while allowing just 8. In their last 10 championship games at home, Melbourne City has registered 6 victories, 1 draw, and 3 losses, earning 19 points from a possible 30. Notably, the most frequent halftime score in their home fixtures has been 1-0 (6 out of 10 matches). Moreover, matches held at home generally see few goals, as evidenced by the fact that 8 of the last 10 fixtures featured fewer than 3 goals. Throughout 22 matches in the competition, they have been unable to overturn their fortunes in the 6 games where they conceded the opening goal.
Melbourne City, under the guidance of A. Vidmar, remains in third place in the A-League with 40 points—just 1 behind second-placed Western United and 6 behind league leaders Auckland. They enter this encounter following a 1-0 victory against Central Coast Mariners, marking their second successive win after overcoming Sydney (2-3). Melbourne City is currently enjoying good form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches. Impressively, defensively, they have only allowed a single goal in their last 5 home games.
Team analysis: Brisbane
The visiting team sits in 12th position, with only 11 points secured from 2 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses. In their penultimate match, they suffered a home defeat to Auckland, losing 0-2. Their last outing also ended unfavourably, losing at home to MacArthur, 1-5. Interestingly, Brisbane has fared better as visitors than at home; over their last 30 matches, they managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats away, scoring 23 goals and conceding 26. In contrast, their home record is poor, with just 1 win, 1 draw, and 13 losses, having scored 16 goals but conceded 36. In their last 10 matches, Brisbane has gathered only 10 points, recording 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses as visitors. The most frequent halftime result in these away fixtures was also 1-0 (4 out of 11 games). Defensively, they have struggled, conceding in every one of their last 10 games, though their attack has managed to find the net in 7 of those encounters. Out of 21 matches played in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only managed to turn around a scoreline once.
Following their latest 1-5 loss to MacArthur, Brisbane Roar is still looking for a way out of this poor run, remaining on 11 points—13 points adrift of Wellington Phoenix with only 15 points available. The immediate goal for Brisbane Roar is to avoid the dreaded last place, thus they must remain competitive alongside Perth Glory, who are level on points. As they head into this 26th round, a challenge awaits at a formidable venue for Brisbane Roar, compounded by Melbourne City’s impressive home form. Should they face another defeat, Brisbane Roar might find themselves precariously placed, lacking a points cushion over Perth Glory, risking a return to the bottom position.
The best prediction for Melbourne City vs Brisbane
Melbourne City wins or a double chance and less than 3.5 goals
