Mel Victory vs Newcastle Prediction – A-League

Check out the best guesses for Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle. Here you find the best guess for Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle by A-League, in addition to the match analysis and betting tips. Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including the recent record and the main statistics of the last games to offer the best guess for this match between Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle.

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle: Melbourne Victory is a strong favourite to win, and rightfully so. However, the Newcastle Jets have been known to concede goals easily, which opens up market opportunities for “both teams to score”. Therefore, an interesting bet could be combining the home team’s victory with over 1.5 goals.

The best prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle in the A-League is a victory for Melbourne Victory combined with over 1.5 goals. The match will take place at Aami Park in the 29th round of the A-League. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on 08-02-2025, Newcastle Jets secured a home win with a score of 3-0. Historical confrontations at this venue favour the visiting team, with Newcastle winning 2 out of the last 3 matches and losing 1. Nevertheless, in their most recent match at this stadium, which was part of the A-League on 29-03-2023, Melbourne Victory managed a notable 5-3 victory. The goals in that match were scored by Matteo Paro (31′, 45′, 40′ and 8′) and Nishan Velupillay (55′) for Melbourne Victory, while Clayton Taylor (49′ and 74′) and Mark Natta (6′) found the net for Newcastle. The home advantage could be crucial in this match, as Newcastle has displayed significant differences in performance between home and away games.

Team analysis: Melbourne Victory. After securing 12 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, the home team currently sits in 4th position with 42 points. In their last match, they achieved a 2-1 victory against MacArthur, following a previous home loss to Auckland (0-2). Melbourne Victory has shown consistent performance when playing at home, boasting a record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at Aami Park. In their last 10 home games in the league, they have garnered 18 points out of a possible 30. However, they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities, though their attack has found the net regularly, scoring in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. Throughout 25 matches in this league, they have only turned the score around in 2 of the 9 games where they conceded first. Heading into this match, Melbourne Victory has the chance to reach 45 points, potentially moving up to 4th or even 3rd place, depending on the outcomes of Western Wanderers or Western United. Currently in 5th position, they cannot drop lower as the 6th place team is 4 points behind. Therefore, they have every incentive to secure a victory against Newcastle Jets to finish the regular phase strongly.

Team analysis: Newcastle. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, the visiting team occupies 9th place with 29 points. In their last outing, they suffered a 1-0 defeat to Western Sydney Wanderers at home, and before that, they lost 3-2 away to Sydney. Interestingly, Newcastle has recorded more positive results as visitors than at home. In their last 30 matches, they have achieved 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses away, with a total of 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home, their record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. In the last 10 matches in the league, Newcastle has garnered 14 points from 30 available, with defensive solidity not being their strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. However, their attack has been relatively consistent, scoring in 9 of the last 10 league games. Across 25 league matches, they have only managed to turn the score around in 1 of the 11 instances where they conceded first. With Newcastle Jets not likely to change their position significantly, they remain 4 points behind 8th place and 3 points above 10th, yet with a much superior goal difference. For much of the season, Newcastle has lingered in 11th place, above only Brisbane Roar and Perth Glory. However, in the final stretch, Newcastle Jets have achieved commendable results, allowing them to overtake Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners. Even as visitors, they have shown competitiveness, achieving 2 draws, 2 wins, and only 1 loss.

The best prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle is a victory for Melbourne Victory combined with over 1.5 goals.