Medellín vs Atlético Nacional Prediction – Primera División

Check out the best guesses for Medellin vs Atlético Nacional Here you find the best guess of Medellin vs Atletico Nacional For the first division, in addition to the match analysis and betting tips. Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including the recent record and the main statistics of the last games to offer the best guess for this match among Medellin vs Atlético Nacional. Medellin 04 May 2025 – 21::10 Primera Division 2025 APERTURE – ROUND 17 Atletico Nacional

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Medellin vs Atlético Nacional: The classic between Medellin and Atlético Nacional promises to be intense, with chances for both sides. They are two large and offensive teams, and the games between them are usually well contested. The best prediction for Medellin vs Atlético Nacional in the Primera Division is that both teams will score.

The best predictions for this match:
Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)
Do both teams score? Yes

Match preview: Medellin and Atlético Nacional play at the Atanasio Girardot Stadium, in a fixture for the 17th round of the Primera Division. The two teams drew (1‑1) on 23‑03-2025, the last time they faced each other in this edition of the League. The head-to-head record at this stadium favours the home team, which in the last 17 matches has won 5, drawn 8, and lost 4. However, in the last encounter at this stadium, by the Primera Division, on 23‑03-2025, the match ended in a draw (1‑1). The goals of that match were scored by Francisco Javier Chaverra Angulo (51 ′) for Medellin and Kevin Viveros (64 ′) for Atlético Nacional. Special attention must be paid to the home/away conditions, as both teams have significantly different results when playing at home and away.

Team analysis: Medellin
The home team is currently in 5th place, having accrued 28 points from 7 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss. In their penultimate match, they secured a home victory against Once Caldas (2‑0). In their last match, they drew away to Fortaleza CEIF (0‑0). This team is strongly influenced by the home factor, performing better in front of their supporters, with a record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses as visitors over the last 30 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 16, compared to 10 wins and 5 draws at home, with 25 goals scored and just 3 conceded. In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 7 games at home. In their championship home matches, the most common scoreline at half-time has been 0‑0 (3 times in 7 games). The defence has been solid, conceding goals in only 3 of their last 10 games in this competition. Independiente Medellin is having a strong campaign and enters one of the most anticipated derbies of the championship with confidence. Playing at home, they hope to utilise the support of their fans as an advantage, but they know they will need to remain focused and committed. In a balanced contest like this, defensive solidity and taking advantage of limited opportunities will be crucial. The team has shown consistency and aims to maintain this form to secure victory. Intensity will be essential from the first whistle to the final whistle.

Team analysis: Atlético Nacional
After achieving 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, the visiting team currently sits in 4th position, also with 28 points. In their last match, they emerged victorious against Deportivo Pasto (3‑0), following a previous defeat away to Deportivo Cali (1‑0). This team tends to perform better at home, as evidenced by their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses as visitors over the last 30 games, compared to 12 wins and 3 draws at their own stadium. In the championship, Atlético Nacional has earned 9 points out of a possible 24, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 8 away games. In this competition, they have not won away in their last 4 matches. The most frequent half-time score in their away games has been 0‑0 (3 times in 8 matches). In their away fixtures in this competition, there tends to be a low-scoring trend, as 4 of their last 8 games ended with fewer than 1.5 goals. In 16 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 4 times and never managed to turn the score around. There is a notable trend in the last 20 matches played as visitors across all competitions: they have scored 8 of their 21 goals between the 16th and 30th minutes. Atlético Nacional is also competing at the top of the table and approaches this derby with the utmost seriousness. Even when playing away from home, they take to the pitch with confidence, understanding that a good result can further solidify their positive form. The match promises to be closely contested and will require complete focus and tactical discipline. In encounters like this, the finer details often make the difference, so the team must avoid errors and maintain emotional control. While the pursuit of three points is a priority, any score will be valuable.

The best predictions for this match:
Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)
Do both teams score? Yes.