Medellín vs Alianza Prediction – Primera División
Check out the best predictions for Medellin vs Alianza
Here you will find the finest prediction for Medellin vs Alianza in the first division, alongside match analysis and betting tips.
Read our detailed analysis of both teams below, including their recent records and key statistics from the latest matches to provide the best prediction for the Medellin vs Alianza match.
![]() Medellin |
| ![]() Alianza |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Medellin vs Alianza
The best prediction for Medellin vs Alianza in the Primera Division is over 2.5 goals. This match is set up to feature a high-scoring affair, particularly given the offensive tactics both teams tend to implement. We expect frequent exchanges of attacks and a fast pace throughout the match. The structure of the match indicates a likelihood of numerous attempts on goal, backing the prediction that there will be more than 2.5 goals scored in total.
The best prediction for Medellin vs Alianza
Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (guess for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky guess)
Match preview: Medellin vs Alianza
Medellin and Alianza face off at Atanasio Girardot Stadium in the first round of the Primera Division. Historically, this venue favours the home team, who have claimed 3 victories and recorded 1 draw in their last 4 encounters here. The most recent clash at this stadium occurred on November 11, 2024, resulting in a 2-0 win for Independiente Medellin, with goals from Leyser Chaverra Rentaria and Diego Moreno. The home advantage may be significant, given Alianza’s contrasting results at home and away.
Team analysis: Medellin
The home side arrives at this stage of the Primera Division (Clausura) after finishing at the top of the previous classification phase, amassing 14 points. Medellin is relatively unaffected by home-field advantage, maintaining comparable results whether at home or away. Over their last 30 matches, they have achieved 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses away, scoring 12 goals and conceding 11, while their home record shows 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 19 goals scored and just 7 conceded. In their last 10 home matches in the championship, Medellin has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, earning 16 points out of a possible 30. In their home matches throughout the championship, the most frequent half-time score was 0-0, occurring in 6 of their 14 games. Their attacking line has been consistent, scoring in 8 of their last 10 matches. However, they have a tendency towards low-scoring games at home, with 10 of their last 14 matches finishing with fewer than 2.5 goals. Notably, in 28 matches in this competition, they have only managed to turn around the score in 1 of the 8 games where they conceded first. Furthermore, among their last 14 home games in this competition, 3 of the 7 goals conceded occurred in the closing minutes (76’–90′).
Independiente Medellin is motivated to begin this new campaign following a solid performance in the Apertura, where they finished as runners-up. Playing at home, they aim to replicate that positive form and secure a win, bolstered by their supporters. Expectations are for Medellin to control possession, dictate the pace of play, and leverage their quality and experience to claim all three points. The goal is to maintain consistency from the outset and re-establish themselves among the favourites for the title.
Team analysis: Alianza
The visiting team enters this match in the Primera Division (Clausura) after finishing in 1st place in the previous classification phase, accumulating a total of points. Alianza is notably affected by home advantage, demonstrating stronger performances with their fans behind them. In the last 30 matches, they have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, with a total of 12 goals scored and 20 conceded. In contrast, their home statistics show 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 27 goals and conceding 16. They arrive at this match following a victory against Barranquilla (0-1). In the championship, Alianza has earned 11 points out of a potential 30 in their last 10 away games, which consist of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. A common half-time score for them has been 1-0, which occurred in 4 of their 10 matches. Their attack has remained relatively consistent, finding the net in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition. However, it is noteworthy that they have not opened the scoring in their last 20 matches. Out of 20 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and only managed to turn the score around in 3 instances.
Alianza FC aims to overcome the narrative of a mediocre campaign in the Apertura as they embark on the Clausura, seeking to become more competitive. The team acknowledges their limitations, particularly against stronger opponents, and is likely to adopt a more defensive approach in this fixture. While playing away, their focus will be on solid marking and utilising counterattacks. Securing at least a point in this encounter would be viewed positively, so maintaining tactical discipline will be imperative. Their mission will be to withstand pressure and effectively seek opportunities to surprise their rivals.
The best prediction for Medellin vs Alianza
Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (guess for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky guess)