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Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Marseille vs Toulouse

Here you will find the best prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for the encounter between Marseille and Toulouse.

Marseille soon
Marseille

  • 06 April 2025 – 18::45
  • Call 1

  • 2024/2025

  • Normal Time – Round 28

TOULOUSE Logo
Toulouse


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Marseille vs Toulouse

The best prediction for this match between Marseille vs Toulouse in Ligue 1 is a victory for Marseille. The home team is buoyed by the robust support of their fans, while their opponent lacks the same level of individual quality. Thus, Marseille is anticipated to affirm their status as favourites and secure the win.

The best prediction for Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille wins or a draw nullifies bet

Match preview: Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille and Toulouse meet for the 28th round of Ligue 1. The last encounter between these two teams saw Marseille triumph away from home (1-3) on 31 August 2024. Recent head-to-head records favour the home side, with Marseille winning 3 and drawing 2 of their last 5 encounters. The home/away forms provide an interesting angle, as despite being 3rd and 10th in the overall standings, the match features teams placed 9th at home and 7th away.

Team analysis: Marseille

The home team currently occupies 3rd place, amassing 49 points from 15 victories, 4 draws, and 8 defeats. In their penultimate match, they suffered a loss to Paris Saint Germain (3-1), and most recently lost to Reims (3-1). They tend to fare better on the road than at home, gathering 27 points away from the Stade Vélodrome, scoring 29 goals and conceding 19, while at home, they have earned 22 points by netting 25 goals but conceding 17. In their last 10 league matches at home, Marseille has picked up 17 points from a possible 30, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. However, they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 outings, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, even though their attack has found the net in 7 of those 10 matches. Of the 27 matches played, they conceded the first goal 12 times but have managed to turn the score around on 4 occasions.

Marseille enters this fixture after a heavy 3-1 defeat. On their recent visit to Stade Reims, the only goal for the team was scored by Valentin Rongier. The team operates in a 3-4-3 tactical system, which promotes a balanced approach between possession and swift counterattacks. Their attacking line features striker Sam Greenwood, impressive for his pace and finishing ability, while the midfield is orchestrated by Adrien Rabiot, who plays a crucial role in initiating attacking plays. Notably absent for this match will be Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Amine Harit, and Faris Moumbagna due to injury concerns.

Team analysis: Toulouse

The visiting team currently sits in 10th position, having accrued 34 points from 9 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats. In their previous match, they faced a loss against Strasbourg (2-1) and were defeated at home by Brest (2-4) in their last outing. Typically, they tend to perform better away than at home, garnering 18 points on the road and 16 at their own ground, scoring 16 goals and conceding 18 at home, compared to 19 goals scored with 15 conceded away. In their last 10 league games, Toulouse has registered 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, totaling 17 points from 30 available. A recurring theme in their matches is a score of 0-0 at half-time, observed in 6 of their 14 league games. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding in 8 of the last 10 fixtures, though their attack has been more consistent, scoring in 8 of those 10 outings. Out of 27 matches, they conceded the first goal 13 times and managed to come back just once. In the last 13 away matches, they notably conceded 6 of 15 goals during the (46’–60′) minute period.

Toulouse comes into this encounter on the back of a 2-4 defeat to Stade Brest, with their goals coming from Vincent Sierro and Joshua King. They typically set up in a 3-4-3 formation, with Yann Gboho, Aron Dønnum, and Joshua King spearheading their attack. They often exploit the left flank, benefitting from the pace and depth provided by Gabriel Suazo. Missing from this match will be Niklas Schmidt, Rasmus Nicolaisen, and Zakaria Aboukhlal, all due to injury issues.

Best predictions for this match

Marseille wins or a draw nullifies bet

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