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Marseille vs Nantes Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Marseille x Nantes

Here you can find the best prediction for Marseille x Nantes in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Marseille and Nantes.

Marseille logo
Marseille

  • January 4, 2026 – 14::00
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Matchday 17
Nantes logo
Nantes


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Marseille and Nantes

The best prediction for
Marseille x Nantes in the Ligue 1 is a Marseille win at halftime. Playing in their stadium, with the fervent support of their fans, the home team is expected to take control of the match from the initial whistle. With a more experienced squad and superior individual quality, Marseille has the necessary arguments to impose a suffocating pace and score in the first half. Given this favoritism, the market for “Marseille to win at halftime” emerges as a compelling option.

Best prediction for Marseille x Nantes

Marseille to win at halftime

Match prediction for Marseille x Nantes

The teams Marseille and Nantes face off at Stade Vélodrome in a clash of the 17th matchday of Ligue 1. The recent head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 6 wins and 1 draw in their last 7 encounters. The most recent match between these two teams, on March 2, 2025, ended with a victory for Olympique Marseille (2-0). In this match, the home factor could play a significant role, as Marseille shows significant differences in results when playing at home compared to away.

Analysis of Marseille

The home team is currently in 3rd place, having accumulated 32 points from 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to LOSC Lille (1-0). In their last game, they won at home against Monaco (1-0). This team is stronger when playing at home, as in their last 30 games, they have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses away; compared to 10 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss at home. They arrive at this meeting after a victory away against Bourg-en-Bresse (0-6).

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 8 home games. Their attack has been consistently scoring, having found the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. At home, there is a trend for goals, as 6 of 8 have finished with over 2.5 goals scored. In 16 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only managed to come back to win in 2 of those matches.

Marseille enters this challenge after a triumph of 0-6 in their visit to Bourg-en-Bresse in a match valid for the French Cup. In the last match in Ligue 1, the home side won against Monaco 1-0. The home team will take the field in its usual 4-3-3 formation, with a more cautious approach focusing on counter-attack opportunities. Up front, Igor Paixão, Neal Maupay, and Mason Greenwood are on the lookout, ready to take advantage of any lapses from the opposition. In midfield, Arthur Vermeeren orchestrates the play, like a true maestro. Missing from this game are Nayef Aguerd and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, both on international duty.

Analysis of Nantes

After 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, the away team finds itself in 17th position with 11 points. In their last match, they lost away to Angers SCO (4-1), after previously losing at home to Lens (1-2). This team tends to maintain performance when playing away, as in their last 30 games, they have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses on the road; compared to 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses at home. They arrive at this match after a victory away against Concarneau (3-5). In the league, Nantes has gained 6 points from 24 possible after 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 8 matches played away. In their league away games, the most frequent halftime result has been 0-0 (4 out of 8 matches). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games in this competition. This is a team that rarely scores first, having only managed to take the lead in 4 of their last 16 games in Ligue 1. Of those 4, they reached halftime in the lead in all and won at the end of the 90’ in 2. In 16 matches in this competition, they have never managed to come back in the 11 games where they conceded the first goal.

Nantes comes into this match after a 3-5 victory in their away match against Concarneau, valid for the French Cup. In their last match in Ligue 1, the visitors lost to Angers 4-1. The away team presents itself in a 4-4-2 formation with clear intentions to exploit quick transitions, especially down the flanks, where they like to accelerate play as if on a limitless speed highway. Up front, the responsibility of breaking the deadlock falls on Youssef El Arabi and Matthis Abline, a duo ready to cause headaches for the opposing defense. Missing from this game are Mostafa Mohamed and Chidozie Awaziem, both on international duty.

Best prediction for Marseille x Nantes

Marseille to win at halftime

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