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Manchester United vs Athletic de Bilbao Prediction – Europa League

Check out the best predictions for Manchester United vs Athletic de Bilbao

Here you find the best prediction for Manchester United vs Athletic de Bilbao through the Europa League, in addition to match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for Manchester United vs Athletic in Bilbao.

Manchester United Logo
Manchester United

  • Result 1st Game: 3 – 0

  • 08 May 2025 – 19::00
  • Europa League

  • 2024/2025
  • Semifinals – 2nd Game
Athletic de Bilbao Logo
Athletic de Bilbao


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Manchester United and Athletic de Bilbao

The best prediction for Manchester United vs Athletic de Bilbao in the Europa League is over 2.5 goals. This match is expected to feature plenty of goals since both teams typically play at a vigorous pace, resulting in a dynamic and intense encounter. It’s noteworthy that 62% of Manchester United’s games in this edition of the Europa League have ended with more than two goals in the full 90 minutes. Therefore, an open match with numerous opportunities near both goals is anticipated.

The best prediction for Manchester United vs Athletic de Bilbao

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)

Match preview: Manchester United vs Athletic de Bilbao

Manchester United and Athletic de Bilbao meet at Old Trafford in this second leg of the Europa League semifinals, following the first leg where Manchester United won 3-0 away. Recent direct encounters favour the home side, with 1 victory and 1 draw in their last 2 confrontations. The home advantage might play a crucial role in this match, as Athletic de Bilbao shows noticeable differences in home and away form.

Team analysis: Manchester United

This team tends to maintain performance when playing away, having recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, compared to 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses at home. They arrive at this match on the back of a 4-3 defeat at Brentford in the Premier League. In their last 6 home matches in the Europa League, Manchester United have won 5 and drawn 1.

In this competition, they have had 13 matches so far. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, having conceded in 7 of their last 10 games, but their attack has scored regularly, netting at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches in this competition. In home games, there is a tendency towards goals, as 27 of their last 31 games have ended with more than 1.5 goals. This team often scores first, having opened the scoring in 10 of their last 13 Europa League matches, with 10 leading at half-time and maintaining the advantage in 5 of those encounters.

Manchester United heads into this match following a 4-3 loss at Brentford in a Premier League match. Despite this setback, the “Red Devils” hold an advantage in this Europa League semifinal, having triumphed over Athletic de Bilbao in the first leg 3-0. Managed by Ruben Amorim, the team typically deploys a 3-4-3 tactical system that emphasizes offensive and dynamic football, with a strong focus on exploiting the flanks. The attacking trio of Alejandro Garnacho, Bruno Fernandes, and Rasmus Højlund is often used, providing creativity, pace, and finishing ability. Offensively, Manchester United frequently favours the left flank, capitalising on Patrick Dorgu’s depth and ability to disrupt, which has been pivotal during transitions. Joshua Zirkzee and Lisandro Martínez will miss this match due to injuries.

Team analysis: Athletic de Bilbao

Athletic de Bilbao tends to perform stronger at home, achieving 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, compared to 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses on their own turf. In their last outing, they drew 0-0 with Real Sociedad in La Liga. In their last 6 away matches in the Europa League, Athletic de Bilbao has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their attack has been effective, scoring in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition; however, in 13 games, they only managed to turn around the score in 1 of the 4 instances where they conceded the first goal. In their last 20 games across all competitions, a notable trend is that they netted 7 of their 19 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.

The Athletic de Bilbao come into this match following a goalless draw against Real Sociedad. The Basque side now aims to overturn the substantial disadvantage brought into this Europa League semifinal, having lost to Manchester United 0-3 previously. Ernesto Valverde is likely to adopt a 4-3-3 tactical formation, with an attacking trio of Nico Williams, Gorka Guruzeta, and Iñaki Williams. Supporting this front line, Álex Berenguer will likely have the freedom to roam, acting as a link between the midfield and attack. For this second leg, the Basques will be without Dani Vivian due to suspension.

The best prediction for Manchester United vs Athletic de Bilbao

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (prediction for live bet)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)

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