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Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction – Premier League

Check out the best predictions for Manchester City vs Chelsea

Here you will find the best prediction for Manchester City vs Chelsea in the Premier League, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between Manchester City and Chelsea.

Manchester City logo
Manchester City

  • January 4, 2026 – 17::30
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Chelsea logo
Chelsea


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Manchester City vs Chelsea

The best prediction for Manchester City vs Chelsea in the Premier League is a Manchester City win. The home team boasts a squad with more individual talent, while Chelsea is going through a turbulent phase in the season. Additionally, it’s worth noting that Manchester City has won nine of the last eleven encounters against this opponent. Therefore, the hosts are expected to demonstrate their quality and ultimately secure the victory.

Best prediction for Manchester City vs Chelsea

Manchester City to win

Match prediction for Manchester City vs Chelsea

The teams Manchester City and Chelsea will meet at the Etihad Stadium in a match of the 20th round of the Premier League. In this venue, the head-to-head record is in favor of the home team, which has 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 8 matches. Indeed, the last time they faced off at this stadium was on January 25, 2025, in a Premier League match that ended with a 3-1 victory for Manchester City. Goals in that match were scored by Erling Haaland (68′), Joško Gvardiol (42′), and Phil Foden (87′) for Manchester City, while Noni Madueke (3′) scored for Chelsea.

Manchester City Analysis

After 13 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, the home team is currently in 2nd place with 41 points. In their last match, they drew 0-0 with Sunderland away, after previously winning 1-2 against Nottingham Forest in an away game. In the league, Manchester City has secured 24 points out of a possible 27, following 8 wins and 1 loss in the last 9 home matches.

In this competition, they have won their last 8 home games. In home matches, some common score markers include 2-0 at halftime (4 out of 9 matches) and 3-0 at the end (4 out of 9 matches). Their attack has been consistent, as they have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their home matches, there is a tendency for goals, as 7 out of 9 ended with over 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. The team usually has no trouble taking the lead: they scored the first goal in 15 of their last 19 Premier League matches, and of these 15, they led at halftime in 12 and maintained the advantage until the end of the 90 minutes in 13 cases.

Manchester City enters this match following a 0-0 draw in their trip to Sunderland, putting an end to a streak of six consecutive victories in the Premier League. The home team typically sets up in a 4-3-3 formation, positioning Phil Foden, Erling Haaland, and Rayan Cherki in more advanced roles. In midfield, Tijjani Reijnders, Bernardo Silva, and Rodri may feature, with the latter being the midfield general. In their offensive play, they often attack down the left flank, leveraging the width provided by Nico O’Reilly. Rayan Aït-Nouri and Omar Marmoush are unavailable due to international duty, alongside injured players John Stones, Savinho, Oscar Bobb, and Mateo Kovačić.

Confirmed lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Rúben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O’Reilly, Matheus Nunes, Rayan Cherki, Phil Foden, Rodri, Tijjani Reijnders, Bernardo Silva, Erling Haaland.
Manager: Josep Guardiola.

Chelsea Analysis

After 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, the visiting team holds 5th place with 30 points. In their last match, they drew 2-2 at home against AFC Bournemouth, having previously lost 1-2 at home to Aston Villa. Their last away match in this competition ended in a 2-2 draw against Newcastle United. In the last 9 away matches in the league, Chelsea recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, accumulating 15 points out of a possible 27. Their attack has scored regularly, as they found the back of the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 19 matches in this competition, they have only managed to overturn the score in 1 out of the 6 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Chelsea enters this match after a 2-2 draw against Bournemouth, marking their third consecutive fixture without a victory in the Premier League: the team’s goals were scored by Enzo Fernández and Cole Palmer. The visiting team typically lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Estêvão, João Pedro, and Alejandro Garnacho as the three most advanced players. Midfielder Cole Palmer takes on the role of the team’s main strategist, responsible for organizing and driving offensive plays with his vision and technical ability. In their offensive efforts, they usually exploit the right flank, using the depth provided by Malo Gusto. Roméo Lavia and Levi Colwill will miss this game due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Robert Sánchez, Wesley Fofana, Malo Gusto, Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah, Josh Acheampong, Enzo Fernández, Cole Palmer, Alejandro Garnacho, Estêvão, João Pedro.
Manager: E. Maresca.

Best prediction for Manchester City vs Chelsea

Manchester City to win


 

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