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Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction – Premier League

Check out the best predictions for Manchester City vs Brighton

Here you will find the best prediction for Manchester City vs Brighton in the Premier League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Manchester City vs Brighton.

Manchester City logo
Manchester City

  • January 7, 2026 – 19::30
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular Season – Round 21
Brighton logo
Brighton


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Manchester City vs Brighton

The best prediction for Manchester City vs Brighton in the Premier League is that there will be over 3.0 Asian goals. It is expected that Manchester City will control most of the match; however, Brighton has a squad capable of exploiting the defensive difficulties of the opponent. It’s worth noting that 70% of the matches played by Manchester City at home ended with more than two goals by the final whistle. Hence, a lively game is anticipated, with goal opportunities arising easily.

Best prediction for Manchester City vs Brighton

Over 3.0 Asian goals

Match prediction for Manchester City vs Brighton

The teams Manchester City and Brighton are playing at the Etihad Stadium in a match of the 21st round of the Premier League. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on August 31, 2025, Brighton & Hove Albion won at home by (2-1). The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which won 4 and drew 1 of the last 5 matches. However, in the last confrontation at this stadium in the Premier League on March 15, 2025, the game ended in a draw (2-2). The goals of the match were scored by Erling Haaland (11′) and Omar Marmoush (39′) for Manchester City and by Pervis Estupiñán (21′) and Abdukodir Khusanov (48′ Own Goal) for Brighton. In this match, the home advantage could play a decisive role, as Brighton has shown different performances in home and away games.

Manchester City Analysis

The home team is currently in 2nd place, with 42 points, after 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they drew away to Sunderland (0-0). In the last match, they drew at home against Chelsea (1-1). This is a team that maintains form when playing away, having recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 away games; compared to 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses at home. In the league, Manchester City has earned 25 points out of a possible 30, with 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 10 matches played at home.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of their last 9 home games. In their home matches, there are some frequent scores: at Half-time 2-0 (4 in 10 games) and at Full-time 3-0 (4 in 10 games). Their attack has been scoring regularly, as they have netted goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their home games, there’s a tendency for goals, since 7 of their last 10 league matches ended with over 2.5 goals. This is a team that often scores first: they opened the scoring in 16 of their last 20 Premier League matches, of these 16, they led at Half-time in 13 and managed to maintain the advantage until the final whistle in 13 occasions. There is 1 notable period in their last 10 home matches in this competition: they conceded 3 of their 7 goals between the minutes (31′-45′).

Manchester City arrives at this match following a draw, 1-1, against Chelsea, marking their second consecutive match without a victory in the Premier League: the only goal for the team was scored by Tijjani Reijnders. The home team typically plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a more organized and deliberate style of play. In this setup, the three players responsible for putting pressure on the opponent’s defense are Erling Haaland, Phil Foden, and Rayan Cherki. In the central region of the pitch, Rodri, Tijjani Reijnders, and Bernardo Silva will align, with the latter responsible for providing the best service to the attacking players. Missing from this game are Rayan Aït-Nouri and Omar Marmoush, who are away on international duty, as well as John Stones, Savinho, Oscar Bobb, and Mateo Kovačić, who are injured.

Confirmed lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, Nico O’Reilly, Nathan Aké, Abdukodir Khusanov, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden, Rodri, Tijjani Reijnders, Rayan Cherki, Erling Haaland.
Manager: Josep Guardiola.

Brighton Analysis

After 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, the visiting team is in 10th place, having earned 28 points. In their last match, they won against Burnley at home (2-0), after previously drawing away with West Ham United (2-2). This is a team affected by the home advantage, stronger when playing in front of their supporters, as in the last 30 games, they have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, with a total of 28 goals scored and 20 conceded. However, at home, they have achieved 8 victories, 6 draws, and only 1 loss, with a total of 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the league, Brighton has collected 9 points out of 30 possible, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches as visitors. In their league away matches, the most common score at Half-time was 1-0 (6 in 10 games). Their offense has been scoring consistently, having found the back of the net in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 20 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 11 times and only managed to come back to win in 3 instances. In their last 10 away matches in this competition, there is 1 noteworthy period: they scored 6 of their 12 goals between the minutes (76′-90′).

Brighton comes into this match following a 2-0 victory over Burnley, marking their second consecutive game without defeat in the Premier League: the goals for the team were scored by Yasin Ayari and Georginio Rutter. The visiting club generally plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a more attacking style, utilizing the flanks. In this setup, the three forward players for the visiting team are Kaoru Mitoma, Brajan Gruda, and Charalampos Kostoulas. It is important to note that the player tasked with leading the offensive play for his team is midfielder Yasin Ayari. Absent from this game will be Carlos Baleba, who is on international duty, along with Adam Webster, Solly March, and Stefanos Tzimas, who are injured.

Confirmed lineup: Bart Verbruggen, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Joël Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Yasin Ayari, Diego Gómez, Georginio Rutter, Brajan Gruda, Charalampos Kostoulas, Kaoru Mitoma.
Manager: R. De Zerbi.

Best prediction for Manchester City vs Brighton

Over 3.0 Asian goals


 

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