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Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction – La Liga

Check out the best predictions for Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao

Here you’ll find the best prediction for Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao in La Liga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao.

Mallorca logo
Mallorca

  • 17 January 2026 – 15::15
  • La Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Athletic Bilbao logo
Athletic Bilbao


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao

The best prediction for
Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao in La Liga is over 1.5 goals. Despite expecting a match with greater control from Athletic Bilbao, Mallorca also has strong arguments to create danger near the opponent’s goal. Therefore, an animated match is anticipated, with a high pace and goal opportunities for both sides, promising excitement until the final whistle.

Best prediction for Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao

More than 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)

Match prediction for Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao

The teams Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao meet at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in a match of the 20th round of La Liga. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on 04‑10‑2025, Athletic Bilbao won at home by (2‑1). The record of recent direct confrontations favors the visiting team, which has won 2, drawn 6, and lost 1 of the last 9 matches. Special attention is needed to the home/away condition, as both teams show significantly different results in their games at home and away.

Mallorca Analysis

The home team currently sits in 17th place, with 18 points earned after 4 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost at home to Girona (1‑2). In their last match, they lost away to Rayo Vallecano (2‑1). This is a team affected by home factor, performing better when playing in front of their fans, as they have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses as visitors in their last 30 games, with 16 goals scored and 22 conceded, compared to 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses at home, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the league, Mallorca has earned 13 points out of 27 possible, after 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in their last 9 games played at home. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 8 of the last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 19 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 12 times and only managed 1 comeback. In the last 18 home matches across all competitions, there are notable periods: they scored 9 of their 22 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Mallorca comes into this clash after a loss of 2-1 at the Rayo Vallecano stadium, marking their second consecutive defeat in this competition: the team’s only goal was scored by Vedat Muriqi. Coached by Jagoba Arrasate, the home team is expected to set up in a 4-4-2 formation, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting the flanks as a tactic to disrupt the opponent’s defensive organization. Up front, the duo of Mateo Joseph and Vedat Muriqi combines speed, refined technique, and a goal-scoring instinct. Pablo Maffeo is unavailable for this game due to suspension.

Confirmed lineup: Leo Román, Marash Kumbulla, Toni Lato, Johan Mojica, Martin Valjent, Mateu Morey, Omar Mascarell, Samú Costa, Antonio Sánchez, Vedat Muriqi, Jan Virgili.
Manager: J. Aguirre Onaindía.

Athletic Bilbao Analysis

After 7 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, the visiting team is in 8th place, having earned 24 points. In their last match, they drew 1-1 away against Osasuna, after previously losing at home to Espanyol (1-2). This team is stronger when playing at home, as they have registered 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses in their last 30 games as visitors; compared to 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses at home. In their last match in the Copa del Rey, they defeated Cultural Leonesa 3-4 after extra time. In their last 9 matches away in the league, Athletic Bilbao has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, earning 8 points out of 27 possible. In their away league matches, the most frequent halftime result was 0-0 (5 out of 9 games). The team has allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition, indicating a weakness defensively. There is a tendency for few goals in their away games, as 6 of their last 9 games in the competition ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 19 games in this competition, they have never managed to turn around the score in the 10 matches in which they conceded the first goal. There is a noteworthy period in their last 17 matches as visitors across all competitions: they scored 4 of their 11 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.

Athletic Bilbao comes into this clash with a victory of 3-4 against Cultural Leonesa, in a game valid for the Copa del Rey. In their last match in La Liga, the visitors drew 1-1 against Osasuna. Under the management of Ernesto Valverde, the away team maintains their 4-3-3 formation, characterized by quick transitions and aggressive wing play. Up front, the trio of Nico Williams, Gorka Guruzeta, and Iñaki Williams combines lethal mobility and refined technique, constantly challenging the opponent’s lines. In the midfield, Oihan Sancet stands out as the absolute maestro, dictating the rhythm and orchestrating plays that often result in danger. Yeray Álvarez is unavailable for this game due to suspension, as well as Maroan Sannadi, Unai Eguíluz, and Álex Berenguer, who have physical problems.

Confirmed lineup: Unai Simón, Andoni Gorosabel, Aitor Paredes, Adama Boiro, Dani Vivian, Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Mikel Jauregizar, Oihan Sancet, Nico Williams, Gorka Guruzeta, Iñaki Williams.
Manager: M. García Toral.

Best prediction for Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao

More than 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
More than 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)

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