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Málaga vs Eibar Prediction – Segunda División

Check out the best predictions for Malaga vs Eibar

Here you find the best prediction for Malaga vs Eibar in the second division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from past games to provide the best prediction for this match between Malaga vs Eibar.

Malaga soon
Malaga

  • 16 August 2025 – 17::30
  • Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Normal Time – Round 1
Eibar soon
Eibar


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Malaga vs Eibar

The best prediction for this clash in the Adelante League is betting on the “handicap, less than 2 goals”. Malaga typically performs better at home and should seek to control the match, although their new attack remains uncertain for this season. Eibar, on the other hand, usually struggles when playing away and is expected to adopt a more cautious approach for this debut. While we anticipate a match in favour of the home team, the total number of clear chances on goal could be lower than market expectations. Therefore, this particular bet seems like a solid choice for this match.

The best prediction for Malaga vs Eibar

Handicap, less than 2 goals

Match preview: Malaga vs Eibar

Malaga and Eibar will face each other at La Rosaleda Stadium in the opening round of the Adelante League. The historical record of direct confrontations at this venue slightly favours the visiting team, who has won 2 of the last 3 encounters, losing 1. However, in their most recent clash at this stadium during the Adelante League on 27-07-2024, Malaga secured a victory with a score of (1‑0), thanks to a goal by David Larrubia (15′). It’s worth noting that the home and away form of both teams differs substantially.

Team analysis: Malaga

The home side enters this season after finishing last year in 17th place. They have a substantial home advantage, boasting a record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses at home this season, scoring 17 goals and conceding 12. Conversely, their away performance showcased only 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with 14 goals scored and 24 conceded. In their last match, Malaga drew 2-2 at home against Burgos. Over the last 10 home games in all competitions, they have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. It’s important to mention that they have conceded goals in 8 of those matches, indicating a need for improvement on the defensive front. Trends suggest that their home matches often yield low scores: 9 of their last 22 games saw fewer than 1.5 goals, while 16 ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. They have only managed to turn the score around once in 15 matches after conceding the first goal.

Last season, Malaga struggled significantly, nearly facing relegation, but managed to end up in 17th position. They lost many key players in attack, opting instead to recruit promising talents like Adrián Niño from Atletico Madrid. Fortunately, it seems that the complete squad will be ready for this first match.

Team analysis: Eibar

The visiting team enters this competition after finishing last season in 9th place. Just like Malaga, they are also affected by the home factor, performing better in front of their fans. Their record as visitors shows 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 12 goals and conceding 15. At home, however, they had a more successful campaign with 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, netting 20 goals and conceding 14. In their most recent match in the Adelante League, Eibar lost (1‑0). In the last 10 matches away from home, Eibar managed to win 2, draw 5, and lose 3. Their defensive solidity has not been strong, conceding goals in 7 of those 10 games, although they have consistently scored, hitting the net in 7 of those matches. A similar trend shows that 11 of their last 22 away matches ended with less than 1.5 goals, while 16 of those games saw fewer than 2.5 goals. Notably, of their last 20 away games across all competitions, 5 of their 14 goals came between the 16th and 30th minutes, while they conceded 7 of their 20 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Eibar had a moderate campaign last season, finishing in 9th position, without much threat of relegation. They retained their top scorer Jon Bautista and maintained other key players in their attack, making only a few reinforcements. It appears that they will have a full squad available for their opening match.

The best prediction for Malaga vs Eibar

Handicap, less than 2 goals

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