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Málaga vs Ceuta Prediction – Second Division

Check out the best predictions for Málaga vs Ceuta

Here you will find the best prediction for Málaga vs Ceuta in the Second Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Málaga and Ceuta.

Málaga logo
Málaga

  • January 11, 2026 – 15::15
  • Liga Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Ceuta logo
Ceuta


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Málaga vs Ceuta

The best prediction for
Málaga vs Ceuta in the Second Division is that both teams will score. The Málaga team is performing well and has a good run of results; however, their defense has been leaking goals frequently. On the other hand, Ceuta is not in its best shape, but its attack has been consistently scoring. We expect an open game with an advantage for the home side, but chances for goals for both teams. Therefore, betting on both teams to score seems to be a solid option for this match.

Best prediction for Málaga vs Ceuta

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live bet suggestion, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier bet)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Málaga vs Ceuta

The teams Málaga and Ceuta are set to compete at the Estadio La Rosaleda in a match for the 21st round of Liga Adelante. These teams have met only twice recently: on April 7, 2024, ending in a 1-1 draw, and on January 14, 2024, with a victory for Ceuta by 3-2. In this matchup, the home factor may play a crucial role, as both teams show significant differences in their results at home and away.

Analysis of Málaga

After 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, the home team sits in 9th place with 29 points. In their last match, they won against Sporting Gijón away (3-1), following a home victory against Almería (2-1) in the previous game. This team is influenced by the home factor, being stronger when playing in front of its fans, as they have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding 22, compared to 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses at home, with 25 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last 10 home matches in the league, Málaga has secured 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, earning 19 points out of a possible 30.

In this competition, they have not lost at home for 6 matches. The team has not been very solid defensively, conceding goals in all of their last 10 matches, but their offense has been consistent, managing to score in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 20 matches in this competition, they have only managed 1 comeback in the 8 matches where they conceded the first goal. In their last 10 home matches in this competition, they have a notable statistic: they conceded 4 of their 11 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Málaga is on a positive streak despite their defense leaking constantly, adding another victory in the last round against Sporting Gijón away (3-1), with goals scored by Adrián Niño, Julen Lobete, and Chupe. The team has utilized a 4-4-2 formation, keeping Chupe and Adrián Niño at the forefront to lead their attacking plays. Just behind are Aarón Ochoa, Carlos Dotor, Izan Merino, and David Larrubia forming the support block, responsible for maintaining play continuity, shortening spaces between sectors, and ensuring the team advances in an organized manner, maintaining a constant presence in the offensive field. Defender Álex Pastor continues to be a confirmed absence due to a long-term injury.

Analysis of Ceuta

The visiting team currently ranks 6th, with 32 points from 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses. In their penultimate match, they won against Real Sociedad II away (3-1). In the last match, they secured a home victory against FC Andorra (2-1). This team is stronger when playing at home, as they have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at home. In their last 10 away matches in the league, Ceuta has 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, earning 10 points from 30 possible. The team has allowed goals to opponents in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their offense has been consistent, managing to score in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 20 matches in this competition, they have only achieved 1 comeback in the 9 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Ceuta is having a great moment, securing their second consecutive victory in the last round at home against Andorra (2-1), with goals from Youness Lachhab and Carlos Hernández. The team has organized itself in a 4-3-3 formation, using Samuel Gyabaa, Konrad de la Fuente, and Kuki Zalazar in the attacking line to add dynamism to their offensive actions. The trio works with constant position changes, aggressive attacks into both internal and external spaces, and quick bursts of speed, a combination that disrupts defensive references, pushes the opponent backward, and creates frequent situations of imbalance and finishing opportunities. It seems that the entire squad will be available for this match.

Best prediction for Málaga vs Ceuta

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live bet suggestion, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier bet)

Will both teams score? Yes

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